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NC State (20-13 in 2025–26) hosts Wake Forest (16-16 in 2025–26) on Jan 23, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
WAKE offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · NCSU defense in 2
NCSU offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · WAKE defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
WAKENCSU
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
WAKENCSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Juke Harris's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juke Harris | 38.2 | 22.8 | 6.6 | 2.2 |
| Tre'Von Spillers | 30.9 | 10.3 | 5.5 | 2.0 |
| Myles Colvin | 26.7 | 10.5 | 4.4 | 1.3 |
| Cooper Schwieger | 22.9 | 6.2 | 2.8 | 1.0 |
| Sebastian Akins | 20.8 | 6.5 | 1.6 | 2.5 |
| Omaha Biliew | 20.4 | 6.1 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| Mekhi Mason | 19.4 | 7.6 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| Nate Calmese | 17.3 | 8.5 | 1.3 | 2.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadir Copeland | 31.4 | 14.1 | 3.7 | 7.3 |
| Paul McNeil Jr. | 30.6 | 13.9 | 2.9 | 0.7 |
| Darrion Williams | 30.5 | 13.3 | 3.6 | 2.2 |
| Ven-Allen Lubin | 30.0 | 15.3 | 7.7 | 0.6 |
| Tre Holloman | 26.7 | 8.5 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| Matt Able | 23.5 | 9.6 | 3.7 | 0.8 |
| Terrance Arceneaux | 17.0 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 0.4 |
| Musa Sagnia | 9.6 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0.0 |
WAKE offenseper gameNCSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
WAKEForAgainst44% of WAKE's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
NCSUForAgainst46% of NCSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
WAKE 4series6 NCSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | NCSU 96 | WAKE 78 | NCSU+18 | +18 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | WAKE 57 | NCSU 70 | NCSU+13 | +13 |
| Feb 22, 2025 | WAKE 73 | NCSU 85 | NCSU+12 | +12 |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NCSU 59 | WAKE 77 | WAKE+18 | +18 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | NCSU 79 | WAKE 83 | WAKE+4 | +4 |
| Jan 16, 2024 | WAKE 76 | NCSU 83 | NCSU+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2023 | WAKE 74 | NCSU 90 | NCSU+16 | +16 |
| Jan 28, 2023 | NCSU 79 | WAKE 77 | NCSU+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2022 | NCSU 76 | WAKE 101 | WAKE+25 | +25 |
| Feb 9, 2022 | WAKE 69 | NCSU 51 | WAKE+18 | +18 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | WAKE14-16 · last 30 games | NCSU17-13 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 48.8%#36 of 361 | 45.0%#327 of 361 | 46.9% |
| 1st half points for | 34.9#174 of 361 | 37.8#60 of 361 | 34.8 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −0.4#178 of 361 | +5.7#84 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 112.1#111 of 361 | 117.7#45 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.