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Duke (32-2 in 2025–26) hosts Notre Dame (13-18 in 2025–26) on Jan 23, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
ND offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · DUKE defense in 4 (4 by a clear margin)
DUKE offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · ND defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
NDDUKE
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
NDDUKENo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Cameron Boozer's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden Shrewsberry | 35.1 | 12.4 | 3.5 | 2.6 |
| Cole Certa | 33.7 | 17.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| Jalen Haralson | 27.6 | 17.8 | 4.6 | 2.7 |
| Carson Towt | 25.4 | 4.9 | 7.5 | 1.4 |
| Logan Imes | 23.7 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 1.9 |
| Brady Koehler | 21.5 | 7.6 | 4.4 | 0.5 |
| Sir Mohammed | 17.8 | 7.2 | 2.7 | 1.9 |
| Garrett Sundra | 16.3 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 0.4 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer | 34.1 | 21.0 | 10.6 | 4.3 |
| Isaiah Evans | 28.3 | 15.5 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| Dame Sarr | 26.5 | 6.5 | 4.1 | 1.3 |
| Caleb Foster | 25.8 | 7.7 | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| Cayden Boozer | 23.4 | 7.8 | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| Maliq Brown | 21.7 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 1.8 |
| Patrick Ngongba II | 21.6 | 10.1 | 5.8 | 1.8 |
| Nikolas Khamenia | 20.3 | 6.3 | 3.8 | 0.7 |
ND offenseper gameDUKE defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
NDForAgainst45% of ND's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
DUKEForAgainst52% of DUKE's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
ND 1series7 DUKE| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | DUKE 100 | ND 56 | DUKE+44 | +44 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | ND 78 | DUKE 86 | DUKE+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2024 | ND 53 | DUKE 71 | DUKE+18 | +18 |
| Jan 6, 2024 | DUKE 67 | ND 59 | DUKE+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | ND 64 | DUKE 68 | DUKE+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2022 | DUKE 57 | ND 43 | DUKE+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2021 | ND 93 | DUKE 89 | ND+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2020 | DUKE 75 | ND 65 | DUKE+10 | +10 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | ND12-18 · last 30 games | DUKE28-2 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 44.8%#329 of 361 | 50.6%#2 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 112.9#113 of 361 | 97.2#359 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −6.7#221 of 361 | +22.6#6 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −2.4#213 of 361 | +25.5#1 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.