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Iowa (21-12 in 2025–26) hosts Penn State (12-20 in 2025–26) on Jan 23, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
PSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · IOWA defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
IOWA offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · PSU defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
PSUIOWA
Expected pace: about 65 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
PSUIOWANo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Bennett Stirtz's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayden Mingo | 34.1 | 12.4 | 3.1 | 4.1 |
| Josh Reed | 32.6 | 14.4 | 4.3 | 1.0 |
| Ivan Juric | 28.2 | 11.5 | 6.4 | 1.2 |
| Freddie Dilione V | 28.1 | 13.9 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Dominick Stewart | 25.5 | 6.9 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Eli Rice | 20.3 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 0.3 |
| Melih Tunca | 19.2 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Mason Blackwood | 13.1 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Stirtz | 39.9 | 22.2 | 2.6 | 3.9 |
| Cooper Koch | 30.5 | 8.3 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| Tavion Banks | 25.7 | 10.3 | 4.9 | 1.0 |
| Kael Combs | 24.0 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| Alvaro Folgueiras | 22.5 | 8.0 | 3.7 | 2.7 |
| Cam Manyawu | 20.5 | 6.5 | 4.3 | 1.0 |
| Isaia Howard | 18.7 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| Tate Sage | 13.5 | 4.7 | 1.4 | 0.2 |
PSU offenseper gameIOWA defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
PSUForAgainst42% of PSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
IOWAForAgainst47% of IOWA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
PSU 4series4 IOWA| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | IOWA 69 | PSU 71 | PSU+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025 | PSU 75 | IOWA 76 | IOWA+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | PSU 81 | IOWA 90 | IOWA+9 | +9 |
| Feb 8, 2024 | IOWA 79 | PSU 89 | PSU+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2023 | IOWA 79 | PSU 83 | PSU+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2022 | IOWA 86 | PSU 90 | PSU+4 | +4 |
| Jan 22, 2022 | PSU 51 | IOWA 68 | IOWA+17 | +17 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2021 | PSU 68 | IOWA 74 | IOWA+6 | +6 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | PSU10-20 · last 30 games | IOWA18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 89.4#4 of 361 | 62.5#349 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −18.3#348 of 361 | +15.2#25 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −11.6#320 of 361 | +12.5#32 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 120.9#8 of 361 | 105.8#284 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.