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Ohio State (21-12 in 2025–26) hosts Michigan State (25-7 in 2025–26) on Jan 23, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MSU offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · OSU defense in 0
OSU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MSU defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MSUOSU
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MSUOSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Bruce Thornton's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. | 33.7 | 18.9 | 1.9 | 9.6 |
| Coen Carr | 30.2 | 11.9 | 5.7 | 1.1 |
| Carson Cooper | 28.1 | 11.5 | 6.9 | 1.3 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 27.3 | 10.7 | 7.9 | 1.4 |
| Jordan Scott | 25.2 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Kur Teng | 18.9 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Divine Ugochukwu | 18.7 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| Cam Ward | 15.9 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Thornton | 36.2 | 19.7 | 4.7 | 4.1 |
| John Mobley Jr. | 32.9 | 16.3 | 2.2 | 2.7 |
| Devin Royal | 32.8 | 12.6 | 5.2 | 1.4 |
| Amare Bynum | 31.4 | 10.5 | 4.7 | 1.0 |
| Christoph Tilly | 24.7 | 9.7 | 3.8 | 1.6 |
| Taison Chatman | 20.3 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Ivan Njegovan | 12.7 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 0.5 |
| Puff Johnson | 11.4 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
MSU offenseper gameOSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MSUForAgainst43% of MSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
OSUForAgainst48% of OSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MSU 5series4 OSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | OSU 60 | MSU 66 | MSU+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025 | MSU 69 | OSU 62 | MSU+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | OSU 60 | MSU 57 | OSU+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2023 | OSU 68 | MSU 58 | OSU+10 | +10 |
| Mar 4, 2023 | OSU 78 | MSU 84 | MSU+6 | +6 |
| Feb 12, 2023 | MSU 62 | OSU 41 | MSU+21 | +21 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | MSU 69 | OSU 80 | OSU+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2021 | OSU 67 | MSU 71 | MSU+4 | +4 |
| Jan 31, 2021 | MSU 62 | OSU 79 | OSU+17 | +17 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MSU23-7 · last 30 games | OSU18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 102.9#323 of 361 | 110.0#184 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 72.0#303 of 361 | 72.5#168 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 46.7%#190 of 361 | 47.4%#120 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +16.2#14 of 361 | +8.4#59 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.