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UC Santa Barbara (16-14 in 2025–26) hosts Cal State Northridge (18-14 in 2025–26) on Jan 21, 2027, 10:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
CSUN offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · UCSB defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
UCSB offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · CSUN defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
CSUNUCSB
Expected pace: about 71 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
CSUNUCSBNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Josiah Davis's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua O'Garro | 34.1 | 14.8 | 8.7 | 2.7 |
| Josiah Davis | 33.8 | 17.6 | 5.5 | 8.9 |
| Larry Hughes II | 33.1 | 16.8 | 3.1 | 0.7 |
| Mahmoud Fofana | 30.2 | 11.8 | 7.9 | 1.4 |
| Jordan Brinson | 20.3 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 1.7 |
| James Evans Jr. | 17.7 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Grady Lewis | 11.6 | 5.4 | 3.0 | 0.3 |
| Davius Loury | 10.9 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Mahaney | 35.3 | 15.7 | 2.1 | 2.5 |
| CJ Shaw | 32.6 | 13.3 | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| Colin Smith | 31.7 | 12.7 | 4.5 | 1.8 |
| Miro Little | 30.7 | 11.1 | 6.9 | 5.4 |
| Zion Sensley | 26.4 | 11.5 | 7.9 | 0.7 |
| Hosana Kitenge | 22.0 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 1.8 |
| Marvin McGhee IV | 21.8 | 6.9 | 4.5 | 1.1 |
| Evans Kipruto | 8.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
CSUN offenseper gameUCSB defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
CSUNForAgainst46% of CSUN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UCSBForAgainst48% of UCSB's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
CSUN 7series3 UCSB| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | CSUN 85 | UCSB 83 | CSUN+2 | +2 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UCSB 65 | CSUN 74 | CSUN+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025 | UCSB 78 | CSUN 72 | UCSB+6 | +6 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UCSB 77 | CSUN 103 | CSUN+26 | +26 |
| Jan 30, 2025 | CSUN 78 | UCSB 71 | CSUN+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024 | CSUN 87 | UCSB 84 | CSUN+3 | +3 |
| Feb 10, 2024 | CSUN 82 | UCSB 74 | CSUN+8 | +8 |
| Jan 18, 2024 | UCSB 97 | CSUN 69 | UCSB+28 | +28 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2023 | UCSB 67 | CSUN 72 | CSUN+5 | +5 |
| Jan 19, 2023 | CSUN 52 | UCSB 72 | UCSB+20 | +20 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CSUN17-13 · last 30 games | UCSB16-14 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possessions per game | 75.0#2 of 361 | 67.4#217 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points against | 81.0#32 of 361 | 73.7#214 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 108.0#210 of 361 | 113.7#88 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 47.8%#88 of 361 | 46.7%#187 of 361 | 46.8% |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.