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Middle Tennessee (14-15 in 2025–26) hosts Florida International (12-17 in 2025–26) on Jan 21, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
FIU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MTSU defense in 1
MTSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · FIU defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
FIUMTSU
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
FIUMTSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Corey Stephenson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Stephenson | 33.7 | 18.4 | 6.1 | 1.1 |
| Eric Dibami | 31.9 | 9.4 | 8.1 | 2.0 |
| Zawdie Jackson | 31.3 | 13.3 | 2.4 | 2.5 |
| Hamed Olayinka | 24.5 | 9.6 | 7.1 | 0.8 |
| Julian Mackey | 24.1 | 12.5 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| Ashton Williamson | 22.2 | 7.0 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| Brit Harris | 18.5 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 1.5 |
| Ibrahim Olajuwon | 15.3 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torey Alston | 32.7 | 14.6 | 8.3 | 1.7 |
| Kamari Lands | 29.7 | 14.0 | 3.2 | 2.5 |
| Chris Loofe | 27.2 | 7.5 | 6.6 | 0.7 |
| Jahvin Carter | 25.7 | 9.8 | 2.9 | 3.7 |
| Sean Smith | 23.1 | 9.5 | 1.9 | 3.3 |
| Alec Oglesby | 22.6 | 7.6 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Tre Green | 17.9 | 6.8 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| Marcus Whitlock Jr. | 14.2 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
FIU offenseper gameMTSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
FIUForAgainst48% of FIU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MTSUForAgainst46% of MTSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
FIU 2series8 MTSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | MTSU 73 | FIU 67 | MTSU+6 | +6 |
| Feb 4, 2026 | FIU 88 | MTSU 84 | FIU+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | FIU 56 | MTSU 78 | MTSU+22 | +22 |
| Jan 2, 2025 | MTSU 73 | FIU 69 | MTSU+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | MTSU 68 | FIU 66 | MTSU+2 | +2 |
| Jan 27, 2024 | FIU 61 | MTSU 79 | MTSU+18 | +18 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | FIU 58 | MTSU 69 | MTSU+11 | +11 |
| Jan 28, 2023 | MTSU 74 | FIU 82 | FIU+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | MTSU 71 | FIU 65 | MTSU+6 | +6 |
| Jan 15, 2022 | FIU 39 | MTSU 50 | MTSU+11 | +11 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | FIU12-18 · last 30 games | MTSU14-16 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possessions per game | 71.3#26 of 361 | 67.3#219 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 86.3#15 of 361 | 72.3#176 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 77.3#75 of 361 | 75.2#216 of 361 | 74.3 |
The 3 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.