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Boston College (11-20 in 2025–26) hosts Duke (32-2 in 2025–26) on Jan 21, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
DUKE offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · BC defense in 1
BC offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · DUKE defense in 4 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
DUKEBC
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
DUKEBCNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Cameron Boozer's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer | 34.1 | 21.0 | 10.6 | 4.3 |
| Isaiah Evans | 28.3 | 15.5 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| Dame Sarr | 26.5 | 6.5 | 4.1 | 1.3 |
| Caleb Foster | 25.8 | 7.7 | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| Cayden Boozer | 23.4 | 7.8 | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| Maliq Brown | 21.7 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 1.8 |
| Patrick Ngongba II | 21.6 | 10.1 | 5.8 | 1.8 |
| Nikolas Khamenia | 20.3 | 6.3 | 3.8 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Payne | 35.9 | 18.0 | 4.7 | 2.6 |
| Boden Kapke | 30.2 | 12.4 | 5.9 | 0.8 |
| Donald Hand Jr. | 26.3 | 8.7 | 3.5 | 1.4 |
| Jayden Hastings | 24.9 | 7.1 | 5.9 | 0.7 |
| Luka Toews | 24.5 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| Chase Forte | 24.2 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 3.1 |
| Aidan Shaw | 23.7 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 0.4 |
| Caleb Steger | 12.3 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
DUKE offenseper gameBC defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
DUKEForAgainst52% of DUKE's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
BCForAgainst46% of BC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
DUKE 8series0 BC| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | BC 49 | DUKE 67 | DUKE+18 | +18 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | DUKE 88 | BC 63 | DUKE+25 | +25 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | BC 65 | DUKE 80 | DUKE+15 | +15 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2023 | DUKE 65 | BC 64 | DUKE+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | BC 59 | DUKE 75 | DUKE+16 | +16 |
| Feb 12, 2022 | DUKE 72 | BC 61 | DUKE+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2021 | BC 51 | DUKE 86 | DUKE+35 | +35 |
| Jan 6, 2021 | BC 82 | DUKE 83 | DUKE+1 | +1 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | DUKE28-2 · last 30 games | BC11-19 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 122.8#6 of 361 | 101.1#325 of 361 | 109.2 |
| 1st half points for | 40.7#14 of 361 | 30.7#324 of 361 | 34.8 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +25.5#1 of 361 | −4.8#244 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | +16.7#4 of 361 | −3.2#241 of 361 | −0.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.