Loading the game…
⌘K
Penn State (12-20 in 2025–26) hosts Purdue (27-8 in 2025–26) on Jan 20, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
PUR offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · PSU defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
PSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · PUR defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
PURPSU
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
PURPSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Fletcher Loyer's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith | 35.8 | 12.5 | 3.5 | 8.8 |
| Fletcher Loyer | 31.2 | 15.4 | 2.5 | 2.6 |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn | 29.4 | 15.0 | 8.4 | 2.5 |
| C.J. Cox | 24.5 | 7.9 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| Oscar Cluff | 24.4 | 9.1 | 6.9 | 1.5 |
| Jack Benter | 15.3 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| Gicarri Harris | 14.7 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Omer Mayer | 13.8 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayden Mingo | 34.1 | 12.4 | 3.1 | 4.1 |
| Josh Reed | 32.6 | 14.4 | 4.3 | 1.0 |
| Ivan Juric | 28.2 | 11.5 | 6.4 | 1.2 |
| Freddie Dilione V | 28.1 | 13.9 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Dominick Stewart | 25.5 | 6.9 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Eli Rice | 20.3 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 0.3 |
| Melih Tunca | 19.2 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Mason Blackwood | 13.1 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
PUR offenseper gamePSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
PURForAgainst49% of PUR's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
PSUForAgainst42% of PSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
PUR 9series1 PSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | PSU 85 | PUR 93 | PUR+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2024 | PUR 70 | PSU 81 | PSU+11 | +11 |
| Jan 13, 2024 | PSU 78 | PUR 95 | PUR+17 | +17 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | PSU 65 | PUR 67 | PUR+2 | +2 |
| Feb 1, 2023 | PSU 60 | PUR 80 | PUR+20 | +20 |
| Jan 8, 2023 | PUR 76 | PSU 63 | PUR+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2022 | PSU 61 | PUR 69 | PUR+8 | +8 |
| Jan 8, 2022 | PUR 74 | PSU 67 | PUR+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2021 | PUR 73 | PSU 52 | PUR+21 | +21 |
| Jan 17, 2021 | PSU 72 | PUR 80 | PUR+8 | +8 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | PUR22-8 · last 30 games | PSU10-20 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 49.0%#19 of 361 | 44.4%#346 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +16.9#12 of 361 | −11.6#320 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | +10.9#13 of 361 | −7.8#318 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 108.3#234 of 361 | 120.9#8 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.