Loading the game…
⌘K
Ball State (10-19 in 2025–26) hosts Toledo (17-15 in 2025–26) on Jan 19, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
TOL offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · BALL defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
BALL offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · TOL defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
TOLBALL
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
TOLBALLNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Leroy Blyden Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson | 37.0 | 16.5 | 3.7 | 4.5 |
| Leroy Blyden Jr. | 34.7 | 17.0 | 4.8 | 5.0 |
| Sean Craig | 31.6 | 10.1 | 6.4 | 1.4 |
| Austin Parks | 27.1 | 9.9 | 5.7 | 2.1 |
| Mynor Strong | 23.7 | 8.5 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga | 18.5 | 7.6 | 3.5 | 0.6 |
| Kyler Vanderjagt | 16.0 | 4.9 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Will James Jr. | 10.2 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armoni Zeigler | 34.1 | 14.3 | 5.5 | 3.7 |
| Davion Hill | 31.1 | 16.6 | 5.1 | 2.7 |
| Mason Jones | 29.1 | 2.9 | 4.0 | 1.5 |
| Elmore James IV | 24.6 | 7.3 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| Devon Barnes | 21.2 | 9.3 | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| Preston Copeland | 19.9 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 0.1 |
| Kayden Fish | 19.9 | 7.8 | 3.3 | 0.5 |
| Juwan Maxey | 14.5 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.3 |
TOL offenseper gameBALL defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
TOLForAgainst50% of TOL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
BALLForAgainst45% of BALL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
TOL 8series2 BALL| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | BALL 55 | TOL 73 | TOL+18 | +18 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2025 | BALL 66 | TOL 67 | TOL+1 | +1 |
| Jan 18, 2025 | TOL 93 | BALL 75 | TOL+18 | +18 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | BALL 72 | TOL 77 | TOL+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2023 | TOL 87 | BALL 81 | TOL+6 | +6 |
| Jan 3, 2023 | BALL 90 | TOL 83 | BALL+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2022 | TOL 83 | BALL 93 | BALL+10 | +10 |
| Jan 18, 2022 | BALL 70 | TOL 83 | TOL+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2021 | BALL 89 | TOL 91 | TOL+2 | +2 |
| Mar 5, 2021 | BALL 70 | TOL 89 | TOL+19 | +19 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | TOL17-13 · last 30 games | BALL10-20 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points for | 38.7#36 of 361 | 29.9#341 of 361 | 34.8 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 116.3#56 of 361 | 100.8#328 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −0.6#84 of 361 | −2.8#319 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +4.3#102 of 361 | −8.5#288 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.