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Saint Mary's (26-5 in 2025–26) hosts Pacific (16-15 in 2025–26) on Jan 19, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
PAC offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · SMC defense in 4 (2 by a clear margin)
SMC offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · PAC defense in 2
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
PACSMC
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
PACSMCNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Paulius Murauskas's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias Ralph | 34.3 | 15.8 | 6.7 | 1.9 |
| TJ Wainwright | 33.3 | 12.9 | 4.6 | 1.6 |
| Jaden Clayton | 31.6 | 7.3 | 4.3 | 6.9 |
| Justin Rochelin | 30.1 | 10.5 | 7.0 | 1.2 |
| Isaac Jack | 21.5 | 9.1 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| Jaion Pitt | 18.3 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
| Kajus Kublickas | 16.7 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 2.9 |
| KC Ibekwe | 10.1 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dent | 37.7 | 13.7 | 2.2 | 6.3 |
| Paulius Murauskas | 32.8 | 18.3 | 7.7 | 2.1 |
| Dillan Shaw | 32.7 | 7.3 | 6.0 | 1.8 |
| Mikey Lewis | 27.0 | 15.4 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Andrew McKeever | 22.0 | 7.9 | 9.3 | 1.9 |
| Harry Wessels | 17.8 | 4.5 | 5.7 | 0.8 |
| Liam Campbell | 12.1 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| Rory Hawke | 9.0 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
PAC offenseper gameSMC defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
PACForAgainst48% of PAC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
SMCForAgainst49% of SMC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
PAC 0series6 SMC| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | SMC 72 | PAC 61 | SMC+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | PAC 60 | SMC 70 | SMC+10 | +10 |
| Feb 6, 2024 | SMC 84 | PAC 43 | SMC+41 | +41 |
| Jan 25, 2024 | PAC 28 | SMC 76 | SMC+48 | +48 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | PAC 52 | SMC 83 | SMC+31 | +31 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2021 | PAC 46 | SMC 58 | SMC+12 | +12 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | PAC16-14 · last 30 games | SMC25-5 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for | 71.2#261 of 361 | 77.4#102 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −4.1#161 of 361 | +19.8#10 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 108.8#186 of 361 | 117.6#46 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +2.4#130 of 361 | +18.0#11 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.