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TCU (21-11 in 2025–26) hosts Baylor (15-16 in 2025–26) on Jan 19, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
BAY offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · TCU defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
TCU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · BAY defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
BAYTCU
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
BAYTCUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Tounde Yessoufou's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Carr | 35.5 | 17.6 | 6.0 | 3.2 |
| Tounde Yessoufou | 34.8 | 17.7 | 5.7 | 1.3 |
| Obi Agbim | 34.0 | 10.7 | 2.5 | 3.0 |
| Isaac Williams IV | 27.8 | 11.5 | 2.5 | 3.7 |
| Caden Powell | 25.3 | 7.5 | 4.9 | 1.8 |
| Dan Skillings Jr. | 24.1 | 8.2 | 4.5 | 1.1 |
| Michael Rataj | 19.1 | 4.9 | 3.6 | 0.7 |
| James Nnaji | 6.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Pierre | 32.3 | 10.6 | 2.5 | 2.8 |
| Brock Harding | 30.5 | 7.2 | 2.7 | 5.1 |
| David Punch | 29.9 | 14.5 | 5.5 | 2.6 |
| Micah Robinson | 27.5 | 10.7 | 4.0 | 1.1 |
| Xavier Edmonds | 26.3 | 14.9 | 9.2 | 1.1 |
| Tanner Toolson | 23.9 | 9.0 | 3.7 | 1.3 |
| Liutauras Lelevicius | 23.8 | 8.4 | 3.3 | 0.6 |
| Kayden Edwards | 7.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
BAY offenseper gameTCU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
BAYForAgainst50% of BAY's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
TCUForAgainst46% of TCU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
BAY 5series5 TCU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | TCU 97 | BAY 90 | TCU+7 | +7 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BAY 63 | TCU 69 | TCU+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | BAY 61 | TCU 58 | BAY+3 | +3 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | TCU 74 | BAY 71 | TCU+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024 | BAY 62 | TCU 54 | BAY+8 | +8 |
| Jan 27, 2024 | TCU 105 | BAY 102 | TCU+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | BAY 72 | TCU 68 | BAY+4 | +4 |
| Jan 4, 2023 | TCU 88 | BAY 87 | TCU+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | TCU 62 | BAY 72 | BAY+10 | +10 |
| Jan 8, 2022 | BAY 76 | TCU 64 | BAY+12 | +12 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | BAY14-16 · last 30 games | TCU20-10 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 48.9%#26 of 361 | 45.7%#280 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 113.0#109 of 361 | 104.1#304 of 361 | 109.9 |
| 2nd half points against | 41.1#113 of 361 | 37.0#304 of 361 | 39.7 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 117.6#47 of 361 | 111.6#124 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.