Loading the game…
⌘K
UNC Wilmington (24-6 in 2025–26) hosts William & Mary (18-12 in 2025–26) on Jan 18, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
W&M offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UNCW defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
UNCW offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · W&M defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
W&MUNCW
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
W&MUNCWNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Patrick Wessler's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tunde Vahlberg Fasasi | 28.1 | 12.0 | 4.5 | 2.4 |
| Kyle Pulliam | 25.4 | 9.8 | 2.9 | 2.3 |
| Reese Miller | 24.7 | 13.5 | 2.3 | 2.2 |
| Chase Lowe | 24.2 | 8.7 | 6.3 | 3.2 |
| Jo'el Emanuel | 23.1 | 9.0 | 3.7 | 1.7 |
| Kilian Brockhoff | 21.6 | 11.3 | 2.9 | 1.6 |
| Jhei-R Jones | 19.0 | 6.1 | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| Ryan Jackson Jr. | 18.6 | 7.6 | 2.9 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Hodge | 33.5 | 12.9 | 4.7 | 1.6 |
| Greedy Williams | 32.4 | 10.7 | 2.7 | 4.5 |
| Christian May | 30.1 | 11.2 | 5.2 | 1.5 |
| Patrick Wessler | 30.0 | 15.3 | 10.4 | 1.3 |
| Noah Ross | 29.9 | 8.7 | 5.3 | 2.0 |
| Madison Durr | 19.5 | 8.7 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Jahnathan Lamothe | 16.1 | 6.5 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Makoi Mabor Makoi | 8.4 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 0.1 |
W&M offenseper gameUNCW defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
W&MForAgainst49% of W&M's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UNCWForAgainst47% of UNCW's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
W&M 4series6 UNCW| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | W&M 85 | UNCW 78 | W&M+7 | +7 |
| Jan 22, 2026 | UNCW 70 | W&M 77 | W&M+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2025 | UNCW 79 | W&M 70 | UNCW+9 | +9 |
| Jan 20, 2025 | W&M 74 | UNCW 85 | UNCW+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | UNCW 81 | W&M 65 | UNCW+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2023 | UNCW 70 | W&M 63 | UNCW+7 | +7 |
| Jan 14, 2023 | W&M 69 | UNCW 67 | W&M+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2022 | W&M 73 | UNCW 80 | UNCW+7 | +7 |
| Feb 5, 2022 | UNCW 92 | W&M 70 | UNCW+22 | +22 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2021 | UNCW 60 | W&M 73 | W&M+13 | +13 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | W&M18-12 · last 30 games | UNCW24-6 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possessions per game | 72.7#12 of 361 | 65.5#299 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 81.3#79 of 361 | 63.9#341 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 79.2#46 of 361 | 74.2#231 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 108.5#227 of 361 | 103.5#314 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.