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Minnesota (15-17 in 2025–26) hosts Purdue (27-8 in 2025–26) on Jan 17, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
PUR offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · MINN defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
MINN offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · PUR defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
PURMINN
Expected pace: about 64 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
PURMINNNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Cade Tyson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith | 35.8 | 12.5 | 3.5 | 8.8 |
| Fletcher Loyer | 31.2 | 15.4 | 2.5 | 2.6 |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn | 29.4 | 15.0 | 8.4 | 2.5 |
| C.J. Cox | 24.5 | 7.9 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| Oscar Cluff | 24.4 | 9.1 | 6.9 | 1.5 |
| Jack Benter | 15.3 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| Gicarri Harris | 14.7 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Omer Mayer | 13.8 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Durkin | 38.3 | 12.6 | 3.2 | 2.1 |
| Cade Tyson | 37.1 | 17.9 | 5.4 | 1.4 |
| Isaac Asuma | 37.1 | 11.7 | 4.1 | 3.3 |
| Langston Reynolds | 36.3 | 12.5 | 4.1 | 5.1 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson | 35.0 | 14.3 | 7.1 | 2.3 |
| Grayson Grove | 26.3 | 5.0 | 3.9 | 2.5 |
| Kai Shinholster | 11.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Maximus Gizzi | 3.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
PUR offenseper gameMINN defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
PURForAgainst49% of PUR's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MINNForAgainst48% of MINN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
PUR 7series1 MINN| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2025 | MINN 57 | PUR 85 | PUR+28 | +28 |
| Jan 2, 2025 | PUR 81 | MINN 61 | PUR+20 | +20 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | MINN 76 | PUR 84 | PUR+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | PUR 61 | MINN 39 | PUR+22 | +22 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2022 | MINN 70 | PUR 89 | PUR+19 | +19 |
| Feb 2, 2022 | PUR 88 | MINN 73 | PUR+15 | +15 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2021 | PUR 68 | MINN 71 | MINN+3 | +3 |
| Jan 30, 2021 | MINN 62 | PUR 81 | PUR+19 | +19 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | PUR22-8 · last 30 games | MINN13-17 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points for | 39.6#24 of 361 | 32.1#291 of 361 | 34.8 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +16.9#12 of 361 | −1.3#194 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | +10.9#13 of 361 | −0.8#194 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 125.3#1 of 361 | 109.5#170 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.