Loading the game…
⌘K
Ohio State (21-12 in 2025–26) hosts Penn State (12-20 in 2025–26) on Jan 17, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
PSU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · OSU defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
OSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · PSU defense in 2
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
PSUOSU
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
PSUOSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Bruce Thornton's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayden Mingo | 34.1 | 12.4 | 3.1 | 4.1 |
| Josh Reed | 32.6 | 14.4 | 4.3 | 1.0 |
| Ivan Juric | 28.2 | 11.5 | 6.4 | 1.2 |
| Freddie Dilione V | 28.1 | 13.9 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Dominick Stewart | 25.5 | 6.9 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Eli Rice | 20.3 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 0.3 |
| Melih Tunca | 19.2 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Mason Blackwood | 13.1 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Thornton | 36.2 | 19.7 | 4.7 | 4.1 |
| John Mobley Jr. | 32.9 | 16.3 | 2.2 | 2.7 |
| Devin Royal | 32.8 | 12.6 | 5.2 | 1.4 |
| Amare Bynum | 31.4 | 10.5 | 4.7 | 1.0 |
| Christoph Tilly | 24.7 | 9.7 | 3.8 | 1.6 |
| Taison Chatman | 20.3 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Ivan Njegovan | 12.7 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 0.5 |
| Puff Johnson | 11.4 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
PSU offenseper gameOSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
PSUForAgainst42% of PSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
OSUForAgainst48% of OSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
PSU 3series7 OSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | OSU 94 | PSU 62 | OSU+32 | +32 |
| Jan 26, 2026 | PSU 78 | OSU 84 | OSU+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | OSU 83 | PSU 64 | OSU+19 | +19 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | PSU 67 | OSU 79 | OSU+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | OSU 80 | PSU 83 | PSU+3 | +3 |
| Feb 23, 2023 | PSU 75 | OSU 71 | PSU+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | PSU 71 | OSU 68 | PSU+3 | +3 |
| Jan 16, 2022 | PSU 56 | OSU 61 | OSU+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2021 | OSU 76 | PSU 64 | OSU+12 | +12 |
| Feb 18, 2021 | OSU 92 | PSU 82 | OSU+10 | +10 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | PSU10-20 · last 30 games | OSU18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −18.3#348 of 361 | +10.9#69 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −11.6#320 of 361 | +8.4#59 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 44.4%#346 of 361 | 47.4%#120 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 120.9#8 of 361 | 110.0#184 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.