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Sacramento State (7-21 in 2025–26) hosts UC Santa Barbara (16-14 in 2025–26) on Jan 16, 2027, 10:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UCSB offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · SAC defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
SAC offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · UCSB defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UCSBSAC
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UCSBSACNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Prophet Johnson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Mahaney | 35.3 | 15.7 | 2.1 | 2.5 |
| CJ Shaw | 32.6 | 13.3 | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| Colin Smith | 31.7 | 12.7 | 4.5 | 1.8 |
| Miro Little | 30.7 | 11.1 | 6.9 | 5.4 |
| Zion Sensley | 26.4 | 11.5 | 7.9 | 0.7 |
| Hosana Kitenge | 22.0 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 1.8 |
| Marvin McGhee IV | 21.8 | 6.9 | 4.5 | 1.1 |
| Evans Kipruto | 8.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prophet Johnson | 37.2 | 20.6 | 6.6 | 3.9 |
| Mikey Williams | 35.8 | 15.3 | 3.3 | 4.2 |
| Mark Lavrenov | 31.1 | 12.5 | 7.7 | 0.7 |
| Arman Madi | 29.9 | 11.3 | 3.5 | 2.3 |
| Jahni Summers | 29.3 | 11.2 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| Shaqir O'Neal | 21.0 | 6.3 | 3.8 | 0.6 |
| Taj Glover | 15.3 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Romari Robinson | 14.5 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
UCSB offenseper gameSAC defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UCSBForAgainst48% of UCSB's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
SACForAgainst46% of SAC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UCSB 1series0 SAC| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | UCSB 92 | SAC 87 | UCSB+5 | +5 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UCSB16-14 · last 30 games | SAC7-23 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 44.5%#344 of 361 | 49.0%#27 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Scoring margin | +3.0#102 of 361 | −7.7#317 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +4.4#101 of 361 | −10.8#314 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Possessions per game | 67.4#217 of 361 | 71.3#27 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.