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St. Thomas (21-9 in 2025–26) hosts Omaha (12-17 in 2025–26) on Jan 16, 2027, 7:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
OMA offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · STMN defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
STMN offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · OMA defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
OMASTMN
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
OMASTMNNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Nolan Minessale's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Osburn | 32.5 | 8.6 | 3.7 | 1.5 |
| Grant Stubblefield | 31.5 | 10.4 | 3.7 | 4.1 |
| Paul Djobet | 30.5 | 17.6 | 7.0 | 2.0 |
| Lance Waddles | 27.2 | 9.5 | 4.5 | 1.7 |
| Ja'Sean Glover | 23.3 | 13.1 | 2.6 | 1.5 |
| Kamryn Thomas | 16.6 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 0.6 |
| Valentino Simon | 15.9 | 5.1 | 3.4 | 0.8 |
| Christian Richardson | 14.5 | 6.6 | 2.1 | 0.0 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Janowski | 32.9 | 17.2 | 4.8 | 2.2 |
| Nolan Minessale | 31.9 | 19.3 | 4.8 | 4.1 |
| Carter Bjerke | 26.0 | 9.9 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| Austin Herro | 25.5 | 5.5 | 4.9 | 4.8 |
| Ben Oosterbaan | 24.9 | 8.7 | 4.7 | 1.5 |
| Isaiah Johnson-Arigu | 21.2 | 9.4 | 3.9 | 1.3 |
| Ryan Dufault | 18.5 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Hayden Tibbits | 13.4 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
OMA offenseper gameSTMN defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
OMAForAgainst49% of OMA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
STMNForAgainst48% of STMN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
OMA 4series6 STMN| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | OMA 53 | STMN 68 | STMN+15 | +15 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | STMN 94 | OMA 98 | OMA+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | STMN 75 | OMA 85 | OMA+10 | +10 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | OMA 84 | STMN 95 | STMN+11 | +11 |
| Jan 23, 2025 | STMN 78 | OMA 89 | OMA+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | OMA 61 | STMN 88 | STMN+27 | +27 |
| Feb 1, 2024 | STMN 65 | OMA 69 | OMA+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2023 | STMN 89 | OMA 83 | STMN+6 | +6 |
| Jan 7, 2023 | OMA 68 | STMN 80 | STMN+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | OMA 74 | STMN 95 | STMN+21 | +21 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | OMA13-17 · last 30 games | STMN21-9 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin | −3.3#244 of 361 | +8.6#30 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −4.8#245 of 361 | +12.4#34 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 71.1#213 of 361 | 85.9#29 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 113.4#94 of 361 | 106.2#276 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.