UNC Wilmington (24-6 in 2025–26) hosts Towson (17-15 in 2025–26) on Jan 16, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
TOW offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UNCW defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
UNCW offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · TOW defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 64 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Tyler Tejada's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Williamson | 36.8 | 15.1 | 2.8 | 3.6 |
| Tyler Tejada | 36.5 | 19.4 | 5.4 | 2.1 |
| Jack Doumbia Jr. | 25.9 | 11.2 | 5.7 | 2.4 |
| Caleb Embeya | 21.7 | 3.5 | 5.7 | 0.3 |
| Tyler Coleman | 21.7 | 4.6 | 3.7 | 0.2 |
| Jaquan Womack | 19.9 | 6.8 | 4.5 | 0.4 |
| Mor Seck | 16.5 | 2.7 | 4.1 | 0.1 |
| Ryan Conway | 12.8 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Hodge | 33.5 | 12.9 | 4.7 | 1.6 |
| Greedy Williams | 32.4 | 10.7 | 2.7 | 4.5 |
| Christian May | 30.1 | 11.2 | 5.2 | 1.5 |
| Patrick Wessler | 30.0 | 15.3 | 10.4 | 1.3 |
| Noah Ross | 29.9 | 8.7 | 5.3 | 2.0 |
| Madison Durr | 19.5 | 8.7 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Jahnathan Lamothe | 16.1 | 6.5 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Makoi Mabor Makoi | 8.4 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 0.1 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
46% of TOW's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
47% of UNCW's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | UNCW+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | TOW+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | TOW+10 | +10 | ||
| Mar 2, 2024 | UNCW+11 | +11 | ||
| Jan 6, 2024 | TOW+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | TOW+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | TOW+24 | +24 | ||
| Jan 22, 2022 | UNCW+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2021 | TOW+4 | +4 | ||
| Jan 18, 2021 | TOW+3 | +3 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | TOW16-14 · last 30 games | UNCW24-6 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points for | 30.7#327 of 361 | 35.5#138 of 361 | 34.8 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 106.8#229 of 361 | 115.0#75 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −6.0#207 of 361 | +10.3#76 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +1.4#145 of 361 | +11.5#39 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.