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Toledo (17-15 in 2025–26) hosts Akron (27-5 in 2025–26) on Jan 16, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
AKR offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · TOL defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
TOL offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · AKR defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
AKRTOL
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
AKRTOLNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Tavari Johnson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavari Johnson | 33.8 | 20.2 | 3.7 | 4.1 |
| Amani Lyles | 29.9 | 13.3 | 8.7 | 2.0 |
| Evan Mahaffey | 28.8 | 10.7 | 6.5 | 3.1 |
| Shammah Scott | 26.4 | 12.1 | 2.0 | 2.9 |
| Eric Mahaffey | 21.0 | 7.4 | 5.5 | 1.4 |
| Sharron Young | 19.7 | 7.0 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| Bowen Hardman | 19.1 | 7.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Zach Halligan | 13.7 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson | 37.0 | 16.5 | 3.7 | 4.5 |
| Leroy Blyden Jr. | 34.7 | 17.0 | 4.8 | 5.0 |
| Sean Craig | 31.6 | 10.1 | 6.4 | 1.4 |
| Austin Parks | 27.1 | 9.9 | 5.7 | 2.1 |
| Mynor Strong | 23.7 | 8.5 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga | 18.5 | 7.6 | 3.5 | 0.6 |
| Kyler Vanderjagt | 16.0 | 4.9 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Will James Jr. | 10.2 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
AKR offenseper gameTOL defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
AKRForAgainst49% of AKR's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
TOLForAgainst50% of TOL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
AKR 7series3 TOL| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | TOL 76 | AKR 79 | AKR+3 | +3 |
| Jan 27, 2026 | TOL 81 | AKR 91 | AKR+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | TOL 90 | AKR 100 | AKR+10 | +10 |
| Mar 4, 2025 | AKR 96 | TOL 87 | AKR+9 | +9 |
| Jan 14, 2025 | TOL 78 | AKR 85 | AKR+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | AKR 64 | TOL 72 | TOL+8 | +8 |
| Feb 2, 2024 | TOL 70 | AKR 77 | AKR+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | AKR 63 | TOL 84 | TOL+21 | +21 |
| Feb 7, 2023 | TOL 84 | AKR 74 | TOL+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2022 | AKR 70 | TOL 62 | AKR+8 | +8 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | AKR25-5 · last 30 games | TOL17-13 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 71.2#317 of 361 | 75.7#101 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 106.3#274 of 361 | 112.0#137 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Scoring margin | +11.6#12 of 361 | +3.0#102 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +16.4#13 of 361 | +4.3#102 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.