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VMI (2-26 in 2025–26) hosts The Citadel (8-22 in 2025–26) on Jan 16, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
CIT offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · VMI defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
VMI offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · CIT defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
CITVMI
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
CITVMINo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
TJ Johnson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sola Adebisi | 35.6 | 12.3 | 5.6 | 1.6 |
| Braxton Williams | 33.5 | 16.7 | 3.7 | 2.2 |
| Carter Kingsbury | 30.1 | 6.9 | 4.2 | 2.2 |
| Christian Moore | 25.8 | 11.5 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| Eze Wali | 25.7 | 5.5 | 3.1 | 2.5 |
| Logan Applegate | 17.6 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Marcos Gonzales | 12.9 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Dante Kearse | 10.1 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Johnson | 38.5 | 17.4 | 7.1 | 1.1 |
| Tan Yildizoglu | 34.7 | 11.7 | 4.0 | 5.7 |
| AJ Clark | 31.0 | 7.5 | 4.8 | 1.2 |
| Linus Holmstrom | 27.6 | 12.9 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| Cal Liston | 26.9 | 6.8 | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| Mario Tatum Jr. | 26.5 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| Kaden Stuckey | 22.3 | 7.2 | 5.3 | 0.5 |
| Walker Andrews | 11.9 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
CIT offenseper gameVMI defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
CITForAgainst47% of CIT's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
VMIForAgainst45% of VMI's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
CIT 5series5 VMI| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | VMI 56 | CIT 80 | CIT+24 | +24 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | CIT 82 | VMI 68 | CIT+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2025 | CIT 62 | VMI 73 | VMI+11 | +11 |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CIT 70 | VMI 82 | VMI+12 | +12 |
| Jan 18, 2025 | VMI 75 | CIT 70 | VMI+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | VMI 51 | CIT 76 | CIT+25 | +25 |
| Jan 20, 2024 | CIT 63 | VMI 70 | VMI+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2023 | VMI 75 | CIT 69 | VMI+6 | +6 |
| Jan 21, 2023 | CIT 60 | VMI 52 | CIT+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | CIT 83 | VMI 79 | CIT+4 | +4 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CIT8-22 · last 30 games | VMI3-27 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points against | 41.1#110 of 361 | 43.1#33 of 361 | 39.7 |
The 1 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.