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App State (17-13 in 2025–26) hosts Georgia State (8-22 in 2025–26) on Jan 16, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
GAST offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · APP defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
APP offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · GAST defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
GASTAPP
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
GASTAPPNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jelani Hamilton's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jelani Hamilton | 34.4 | 18.1 | 5.3 | 2.7 |
| Micah Tucker | 33.6 | 15.1 | 2.4 | 3.3 |
| Malachi Brown | 33.1 | 15.6 | 4.8 | 2.9 |
| Joah Chappelle | 24.1 | 6.8 | 4.4 | 0.5 |
| Anthony Enoh | 21.3 | 3.7 | 4.5 | 0.7 |
| Trey Scott III | 19.8 | 4.5 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| Christian Beam | 16.2 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 0.3 |
| Jakai Newton | 14.3 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasen Jennings | 35.0 | 16.1 | 5.1 | 1.9 |
| Alonzo Dodd | 34.6 | 16.1 | 5.9 | 4.9 |
| Jalen Tot | 33.9 | 12.3 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Luke Wilson | 30.7 | 10.4 | 9.5 | 0.6 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. | 26.8 | 7.8 | 6.7 | 0.4 |
| Eren Banks | 24.1 | 6.1 | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| Chad Moodie | 10.5 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0.2 |
| Jason Clarke Jr. | 5.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
GAST offenseper gameAPP defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
GASTForAgainst46% of GAST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
APPForAgainst45% of APP's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
GAST 4series6 APP| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | APP 52 | GAST 50 | APP+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | GAST 70 | APP 63 | GAST+7 | +7 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | APP 65 | GAST 70 | GAST+5 | +5 |
| Feb 1, 2025 | GAST 76 | APP 80 | APP+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2024 | APP 81 | GAST 71 | APP+10 | +10 |
| Jan 17, 2024 | GAST 68 | APP 76 | APP+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2023 | APP 78 | GAST 52 | APP+26 | +26 |
| Jan 26, 2023 | GAST 59 | APP 71 | APP+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2022 | GAST 71 | APP 66 | GAST+5 | +5 |
| Feb 12, 2022 | GAST 58 | APP 49 | GAST+9 | +9 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | GAST8-22 · last 30 games | APP17-13 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points against | 35.8#132 of 361 | 30.5#353 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 47.4%#114 of 361 | 45.0%#319 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Possessions per game | 68.3#165 of 361 | 63.7#352 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −10.2#307 of 361 | +3.0#124 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.