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Pepperdine (7-23 in 2025–26) hosts Saint Mary's (26-5 in 2025–26) on Jan 16, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
SMC offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · PEPP defense in 1
PEPP offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · SMC defense in 4 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
SMCPEPP
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
SMCPEPPNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Aaron Clark's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dent | 37.7 | 13.7 | 2.2 | 6.3 |
| Paulius Murauskas | 32.8 | 18.3 | 7.7 | 2.1 |
| Dillan Shaw | 32.7 | 7.3 | 6.0 | 1.8 |
| Mikey Lewis | 27.0 | 15.4 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Andrew McKeever | 22.0 | 7.9 | 9.3 | 1.9 |
| Harry Wessels | 17.8 | 4.5 | 5.7 | 0.8 |
| Liam Campbell | 12.1 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| Rory Hawke | 9.0 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Clark | 34.1 | 18.3 | 3.4 | 2.6 |
| Styles Phipps | 33.5 | 15.3 | 5.5 | 5.4 |
| Danilo Dožic | 30.8 | 11.1 | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| Javon Cooley | 30.8 | 9.3 | 4.2 | 1.4 |
| Yonatan Levy | 21.7 | 4.7 | 4.2 | 2.0 |
| Stefan Cicic | 18.4 | 6.8 | 3.9 | 0.4 |
| Pavle Stošic | 13.6 | 3.1 | 4.1 | 0.5 |
| David Mager | 13.1 | 5.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
SMC offenseper gamePEPP defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
SMCForAgainst49% of SMC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
PEPPForAgainst48% of PEPP's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
SMC 10series0 PEPP| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | PEPP 60 | SMC 88 | SMC+28 | +28 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | SMC 72 | PEPP 45 | SMC+27 | +27 |
| Mar 10, 2025 | PEPP 59 | SMC 74 | SMC+15 | +15 |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SMC 74 | PEPP 50 | SMC+24 | +24 |
| Jan 2, 2025 | PEPP 41 | SMC 71 | SMC+30 | +30 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | SMC 83 | PEPP 57 | SMC+26 | +26 |
| Feb 15, 2024 | PEPP 59 | SMC 103 | SMC+44 | +44 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | SMC 73 | PEPP 44 | SMC+29 | +29 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2022 | PEPP 57 | SMC 81 | SMC+24 | +24 |
| Jan 13, 2022 | SMC 77 | PEPP 62 | SMC+15 | +15 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | SMC25-5 · last 30 games | PEPP7-23 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +7.4#13 of 361 | −7.4#350 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +18.0#11 of 361 | −13.4#330 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 64.9#357 of 361 | 78.5#49 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 99.6#349 of 361 | 114.8#63 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.