Indiana (17-14 in 2025–26) hosts Michigan (31-3 in 2025–26) on Jan 16, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MICH offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · IU defense in 0
IU offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MICH defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Lamar Wilkerson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg | 33.9 | 14.8 | 6.7 | 3.3 |
| Elliot Cadeau | 28.9 | 10.1 | 2.3 | 6.1 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. | 27.2 | 12.4 | 7.6 | 1.1 |
| Aday Mara | 23.4 | 12.5 | 6.7 | 2.3 |
| Trey McKenney | 23.1 | 9.1 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| Nimari Burnett | 19.1 | 7.8 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| Roddy Gayle Jr. | 18.9 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 0.8 |
| L.J. Cason | 18.1 | 9.9 | 1.4 | 2.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker DeVries | 37.1 | 12.6 | 5.6 | 3.8 |
| Lamar Wilkerson | 35.9 | 21.7 | 3.9 | 2.1 |
| Conor Enright | 31.9 | 4.5 | 2.7 | 4.9 |
| Nick Dorn | 29.5 | 8.9 | 2.6 | 0.3 |
| Sam Alexis | 24.5 | 10.7 | 4.9 | 1.2 |
| Reed Bailey | 17.6 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| Tayton Conerway | 12.8 | 6.2 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Jasai Miles | 11.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.3 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
48% of MICH's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
49% of IU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | MICH+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | MICH+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2023 | IU+3 | +3 | ||
| Mar 5, 2023 | IU+2 | +2 | ||
| Feb 11, 2023 | IU+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | IU+5 | +5 | ||
| Jan 23, 2022 | MICH+18 | +18 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2021 | MICH+16 | +16 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MICH27-3 · last 30 games | IU16-14 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points for | 43.4#32 of 361 | 38.5#224 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 48.2%#69 of 361 | 45.9%#258 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Possessions per game | 70.1#73 of 361 | 66.5#262 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 98.4#354 of 361 | 110.6#166 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.