Illinois vs Maryland Odds, Stats & Props

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Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.

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What to know

Scoring margin

ILL +14.6 · MD −6.9

Points scored minus allowed a game, 2025–26. Each team's own average, not a forecast.

Form

ILL 6-4 · MD 3-7

Each team's record over its last ten games.

Rest

ILL 2d · MD 3d

Days off before this game, from the schedule.

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory

ranks betterranks worseStronger72+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 361 (#1 = best)

ILL offensevsMD defense

ILL offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · MD defense in 0

Shooting · effective FG%

55.1%

#37Stronger

54.4%

#310

Turnovers · per 100 plays

11.1%

#4Stronger

13.2%

#281

Offensive rebounding %

38.7%

#3Stronger

29.1%

#112

Free throw rate

26.0%

#157slight

26.0%

#204

MD offensevsILL defense

MD offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · ILL defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

48.1%

#308

47.6%

Stronger#35

Turnovers · per 100 plays

15.8%

#271Stronger

10.2%

#361

Offensive rebounding %

33.8%

#73

27.0%

slight#38

Free throw rate

26.3%

#148

15.1%

Stronger#1

Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.

Key numbers and mismatchesHistory

ILLMD

+21.8 7thNet rating306th −10.4

126.6 1stOffensive rating263rd 105.2

104.7 70thDefensive rating313th 115.6

66.7 254thPace278th 66.2

Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.

Where one side has the better of it

ILL turnovers
ILL offense 11.1% (4th) vs MD defense allowing 13.2% (281st)
+277 spots
ILL effective shooting
ILL offense 55.1% (37th) vs MD defense allowing 54.4% (310th)
+273 spots
ILL 2-point shooting
ILL offense 58.2% (17th) vs MD defense allowing 54.4% (283rd)
+266 spots
MD turnovers
MD offense 15.8% (271st) vs ILL defense allowing 10.2% (361st)
+90 spots

ContextHistory

last 10 days

ILL

OSU

NU

MD

2 days rest

MD

IOWA

IU

ILL

3 days rest

homeroadday offthis gameFrom the schedule; travel distance is not tracked.

ILL · last 10

24-8 · 286 days rest

Apr 4 @ CONN2025–26L 62–71
Mar 28 vs IOWA2025–26W 71–59
Mar 26 @ HOU2025–26W 65–55
Mar 21 vs VCU2025–26W 76–55
Mar 19 vs PENN2025–26W 105–70
Mar 13 vs WIS2025–26L 88–91
Mar 8 @ MD2025–26W 78–72
Mar 3 vs ORE2025–26W 80–54
Feb 27 vs MICH2025–26L 70–84
Feb 21 @ UCLA2025–26L 94–95

6-4 in these

MD · last 10

12-21 · 310 days rest

Mar 11 @ IOWA2025–26L 64–75
Mar 10 @ ORE2025–26W 70–60
Mar 8 vs ILL2025–26L 72–78
Mar 4 @ WIS2025–26L 45–78
Mar 1 vs RUTG2025–26L 65–69
Feb 25 @ NEB2025–26L 61–74
Feb 21 vs WASH2025–26W 64–60
Feb 18 @ NU2025–26L 74–78
Feb 15 @ RUTG2025–26L 57–68
Feb 11 vs IOWA2025–26W 77–70

3-7 in these

Player props

No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number

Illinois Fighting Illini

Maryland Terrapins

Keaton Wagler

ILL vs MD

Player page →

Points No line yet

ILL at MD

Full breakdown

Keaton Wagler's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…

the game-by-game chart
hit-rate splits and filters
the what-if line and market curve
every book and the line history

ILL rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Keaton Wagler	37.1	20.0	4.4	5.1
David Mirkovic	31.3	14.9	7.1	2.7
Kylan Boswell	27.4	10.1	3.6	3.0
Tomislav Ivisic	27.1	9.5	6.3	2.0
Andrej Stojakovic	26.5	12.9	4.8	1.1
Jake Davis	25.9	7.4	2.9	1.1
Ben Humrichous	24.5	6.7	4.1	0.9
Zvonimir Ivisic	18.7	6.5	4.6	0.2

MD rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Solomon Washington	33.3	10.1	9.1	1.5
Elijah Saunders	31.8	8.9	4.1	1.1
Andre Mills	29.5	16.9	4.1	1.7
Darius Adams	24.9	8.6	3.1	1.7
David Coit	24.1	11.3	1.5	2.7
Collin Metcalf	21.1	2.1	4.8	0.5
Myles Rice	17.7	2.0	2.7	0.7
Isaiah Watts	11.0	3.2	1.1	0.1

Team rankings (2025–26)History

ILL offenseper gameMD defense

Effective FG%

37th55.1%

54.4%310th

Turnover %

4th11.1%

13.2%281st

Offensive rebound %

3rd38.7%

29.1%112th

Free throw rate

157th26.0%

26.0%204th

Points

18th84.4

76.6230th

Field goal %

85th46.3%

46.6%280th

2-point %

17th58.2%

54.4%283rd

3-point %

140th34.7%

36.3%314th

Free throw %

7th78.9%

72.8%210th

Rebounds

7th40.7

33.496th

Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.

Scoring by halfHistory

per game, last 17 games · the tick is the league's average team

ILLForAgainst

1st half

37.6

31.5

2nd half

43.0

37.8

Game

80.6

69.3

47% of ILL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

MDForAgainst

1st half

31.4

34.8

2nd half

34.9

41.0

Game

66.2

75.8

47% of MD's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.

SeriesHistory

10 meetings

ILL 4series6 MD

Last 10IIMMIMMMIM

Avg total

148.3

combined points

Avg margin

MD 3.5

per meeting

Biggest win

MD +23

Mar 14, 2025

Last meeting

ILL won

Mar 8, 2026

Every meetingHistory

2026ILL 2-0 MD

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 8, 2026	ILL 78	MD 72	ILL+6	+6
Jan 21, 2026	MD 70	ILL 89	ILL+19	+19

2025ILL 0-2 MD

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 14, 2025	ILL 65	MD 88	MD+23	+23
Jan 23, 2025	MD 91	ILL 70	MD+21	+21

2024ILL 1-1 MD

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 17, 2024	ILL 85	MD 80	ILL+5	+5
Jan 14, 2024	MD 76	ILL 67	MD+9	+9

2022ILL 1-2 MD

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Dec 2, 2022	ILL 66	MD 71	MD+5	+5
Jan 21, 2022	ILL 65	MD 81	MD+16	+16
Jan 6, 2022	MD 64	ILL 76	ILL+12	+12

2021ILL 0-1 MD

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Jan 10, 2021	MD 66	ILL 63	MD+3	+3

Measure	ILL22-8 · last 30 games	MD10-20 · last 30 games	League
Margin per 100 possessions	+18.4#10 of 361	−13.1#328 of 361	−0.7
Scoring margin	+12.2#10 of 361	−8.6#327 of 361	−0.5
1st half points for	40.6#15 of 361	32.0#294 of 361	34.8
Points scored per 100 possessions	124.7#2 of 361	104.8#272 of 361	109.2

Measure	ILL22-8 · last 30 games	MD10-20 · last 30 games	League
Margin per 100 possessions	+18.4#10 of 361	−13.1#328 of 361	−0.7
Scoring margin	+12.2#10 of 361	−8.6#327 of 361	−0.5
1st half points for	40.6#15 of 361	32.0#294 of 361	34.8
Points scored per 100 possessions	124.7#2 of 361	104.8#272 of 361	109.2

Illinois vs Maryland — College Basketball, Jan 16, 2027

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What to know

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory