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Nebraska (26-6 in 2025–26) hosts Iowa (21-12 in 2025–26) on Jan 16, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
IOWA offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · NEB defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
NEB offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · IOWA defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
IOWANEB
Expected pace: about 65 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
IOWANEBNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Bennett Stirtz's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Stirtz | 39.9 | 22.2 | 2.6 | 3.9 |
| Cooper Koch | 30.5 | 8.3 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| Tavion Banks | 25.7 | 10.3 | 4.9 | 1.0 |
| Kael Combs | 24.0 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| Alvaro Folgueiras | 22.5 | 8.0 | 3.7 | 2.7 |
| Cam Manyawu | 20.5 | 6.5 | 4.3 | 1.0 |
| Isaia Howard | 18.7 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| Tate Sage | 13.5 | 4.7 | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pryce Sandfort | 36.7 | 19.5 | 5.1 | 1.7 |
| Sam Hoiberg | 35.3 | 11.1 | 5.7 | 4.7 |
| Jamarques Lawrence | 29.7 | 9.2 | 2.7 | 4.4 |
| Rienk Mast | 29.7 | 11.2 | 5.0 | 2.9 |
| Berke Buyuktuncel | 24.5 | 5.1 | 4.6 | 1.9 |
| Braden Frager | 24.0 | 10.6 | 3.5 | 0.8 |
| Cale Jacobsen | 21.0 | 5.3 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| Jared Garcia | 7.6 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.2 |
IOWA offenseper gameNEB defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
IOWAForAgainst47% of IOWA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
NEBForAgainst48% of NEB's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
IOWA 7series3 NEB| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | IOWA 77 | NEB 71 | IOWA+6 | +6 |
| Mar 8, 2026 | IOWA 75 | NEB 84 | NEB+9 | +9 |
| Feb 17, 2026 | NEB 52 | IOWA 57 | IOWA+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | IOWA 83 | NEB 68 | IOWA+15 | +15 |
| Jan 7, 2025 | NEB 87 | IOWA 97 | IOWA+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2024 | NEB 76 | IOWA 94 | IOWA+18 | +18 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | NEB 81 | IOWA 77 | NEB+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2022 | IOWA 50 | NEB 66 | NEB+16 | +16 |
| Feb 25, 2022 | IOWA 88 | NEB 78 | IOWA+10 | +10 |
| Feb 13, 2022 | NEB 75 | IOWA 98 | IOWA+23 | +23 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | IOWA18-12 · last 30 games | NEB24-6 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 44.6%#341 of 361 | 48.4%#56 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Possessions per game | 62.6#361 of 361 | 66.9#238 of 361 | 68.0 |
| 2nd half points for | 39.4#189 of 361 | 41.3#95 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 105.8#284 of 361 | 99.7#348 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.