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Illinois State (19-12 in 2025–26) hosts Valparaiso (17-14 in 2025–26) on Jan 16, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
VAL offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · ILST defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
ILST offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · VAL defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
VALILST
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
VALILSTNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Chase Walker's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Dease | 31.0 | 11.2 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| Rakim Chaney | 29.7 | 10.3 | 3.7 | 2.6 |
| JT Pettigrew | 29.5 | 13.5 | 7.6 | 2.2 |
| Brody Whitaker | 28.6 | 10.7 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Shon Tupuola | 24.7 | 6.2 | 5.1 | 1.1 |
| Justus McNair | 22.1 | 9.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Carter Hopoi | 13.3 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 0.3 |
| Sader Servilus | 12.9 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 0.8 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Kinziger | 32.1 | 10.5 | 2.1 | 3.5 |
| Boden Skunberg | 27.5 | 10.6 | 4.3 | 1.4 |
| Landon Wolf | 26.4 | 8.9 | 4.9 | 0.8 |
| Ty Pence | 22.4 | 7.1 | 4.1 | 1.6 |
| Chase Walker | 21.3 | 13.7 | 4.7 | 1.7 |
| Ty'Reek Coleman | 21.0 | 10.2 | 3.7 | 1.8 |
| Mason Klabo | 17.7 | 5.3 | 2.8 | 1.0 |
| Landon Moore | 16.5 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
VAL offenseper gameILST defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
VALForAgainst47% of VAL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
ILSTForAgainst48% of ILST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
VAL 7series3 ILST| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2026 | VAL 64 | ILST 86 | ILST+22 | +22 |
| Jan 7, 2026 | ILST 71 | VAL 77 | VAL+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | VAL 78 | ILST 86 | ILST+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | ILST 72 | VAL 75 | VAL+3 | +3 |
| Jan 14, 2024 | VAL 59 | ILST 50 | VAL+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | ILST 76 | VAL 81 | VAL+5 | +5 |
| Jan 21, 2023 | VAL 71 | ILST 51 | VAL+20 | +20 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2022 | VAL 75 | ILST 78 | ILST+3 | +3 |
| Jan 2, 2022 | ILST 76 | VAL 81 | VAL+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2021 | VAL 70 | ILST 66 | VAL+4 | +4 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | VAL16-14 · last 30 games | ILST19-11 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −7.2#229 of 361 | +17.2#14 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 78.5#147 of 361 | 61.3#354 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −0.9#185 of 361 | +8.6#58 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 109.0#214 of 361 | 102.8#324 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.