Boston University (16-17 in 2025–26) hosts American University (14-16 in 2025–26) on Jan 16, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
AMER offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · BU defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
BU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · AMER defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 65 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Michael McNair's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Jones | 31.2 | 13.2 | 6.2 | 2.1 |
| Matt Mayock | 31.1 | 8.5 | 3.9 | 1.7 |
| Geoff Sprouse | 28.9 | 9.7 | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| Julen Iturbe | 28.7 | 11.7 | 4.9 | 2.5 |
| Madden Collins | 23.1 | 13.7 | 4.6 | 2.2 |
| Wyatt Nausadis | 21.5 | 6.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Kade Sebastian | 20.0 | 4.9 | 3.0 | 1.1 |
| Chris Eagan | 10.1 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael McNair | 38.4 | 17.6 | 5.7 | 2.0 |
| Chance Gladden | 38.0 | 16.4 | 3.1 | 4.7 |
| Azmar Abdullah | 34.0 | 8.4 | 5.1 | 1.6 |
| Sam Hughes | 32.3 | 9.0 | 3.9 | 0.9 |
| Ben Defty | 31.2 | 16.2 | 6.7 | 2.3 |
| Donte Tisinger Jr. | 23.3 | 6.5 | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| Quinn Nielsen | 9.2 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 0.3 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
47% of AMER's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
45% of BU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | BU+2 | +2 | ||
| Feb 28, 2026 | BU+3 | +3 | ||
| Jan 3, 2026 | AMER+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | AMER+4 | +4 | ||
| Jan 8, 2025 | BU+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2024 | BU+15 | +15 | ||
| Jan 10, 2024 | BU+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2023 | BU+6 | +6 | ||
| Jan 8, 2023 | AMER+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | BU+18 | +18 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | AMER14-16 · last 30 games | BU14-16 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 110.1#183 of 361 | 115.2#54 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 109.0#180 of 361 | 115.9#60 of 361 | 109.2 |
| 2nd half points for | 38.5#227 of 361 | 40.7#129 of 361 | 39.5 |
| 2nd half points against | 38.8#225 of 361 | 40.4#149 of 361 | 39.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.