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Northwestern State (8-22 in 2025–26) hosts Incarnate Word (8-19 in 2025–26) on Jan 16, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UIW offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · NWST defense in 2
NWST offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UIW defense in 2
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UIWNWST
Expected pace: about 65 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UIWNWSTNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Davion Bailey's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Bailey | 36.3 | 16.9 | 3.7 | 2.1 |
| Tahj Staveskie | 34.9 | 16.4 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
| Harold Woods | 29.9 | 9.0 | 6.2 | 1.2 |
| Jordan Pyke | 23.0 | 12.1 | 4.3 | 1.5 |
| Love Bettis | 22.5 | 5.9 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Marcus Glover | 16.3 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 |
| Lewis Rowe | 14.5 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| Esteban Mann | 12.5 | 1.6 | 4.1 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Thomas | 32.7 | 16.6 | 2.4 | 2.9 |
| Willie Williams | 31.9 | 11.7 | 8.7 | 1.7 |
| Chris Mubiru | 28.5 | 5.9 | 4.7 | 1.7 |
| Izzy Miles | 26.1 | 10.5 | 2.9 | 1.2 |
| CJ Larry | 22.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| Landyn Jumawan | 18.4 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| Justin Redmond | 14.6 | 4.3 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Chip Brunt | 12.3 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
UIW offenseper gameNWST defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UIWForAgainst44% of UIW's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
NWSTForAgainst47% of NWST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UIW 1series9 NWST| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2026 | UIW 49 | NWST 54 | NWST+5 | +5 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | NWST 74 | UIW 76 | UIW+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | UIW 57 | NWST 73 | NWST+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2024 | NWST 72 | UIW 70 | NWST+2 | +2 |
| Feb 17, 2024 | NWST 81 | UIW 61 | NWST+20 | +20 |
| Jan 13, 2024 | UIW 71 | NWST 97 | NWST+26 | +26 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | UIW 64 | NWST 81 | NWST+17 | +17 |
| Feb 23, 2023 | NWST 71 | UIW 66 | NWST+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | NWST 88 | UIW 64 | NWST+24 | +24 |
| Jan 27, 2022 | UIW 70 | NWST 79 | NWST+9 | +9 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UIW9-21 · last 30 games | NWST8-22 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 45.5%#293 of 361 | 49.9%#7 of 361 | 46.9% |
| 2nd half points for | 38.7#215 of 361 | 36.2#308 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 107.4#222 of 361 | 102.1#310 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 115.1#55 of 361 | 112.7#117 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.