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Liberty (22-7 in 2025–26) hosts Middle Tennessee (14-15 in 2025–26) on Jan 14, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MTSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · LIB defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
LIB offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · MTSU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MTSULIB
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MTSULIBNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Brett Decker Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torey Alston | 32.7 | 14.6 | 8.3 | 1.7 |
| Kamari Lands | 29.7 | 14.0 | 3.2 | 2.5 |
| Chris Loofe | 27.2 | 7.5 | 6.6 | 0.7 |
| Jahvin Carter | 25.7 | 9.8 | 2.9 | 3.7 |
| Sean Smith | 23.1 | 9.5 | 1.9 | 3.3 |
| Alec Oglesby | 22.6 | 7.6 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Tre Green | 17.9 | 6.8 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| Marcus Whitlock Jr. | 14.2 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Metheny | 35.9 | 13.7 | 3.4 | 3.3 |
| Zach Cleveland | 35.7 | 12.6 | 6.8 | 6.1 |
| Colin Porter | 35.5 | 11.7 | 3.3 | 3.5 |
| Brett Decker Jr. | 35.3 | 15.9 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| JJ Harper | 26.9 | 10.7 | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| Josh Smith | 15.1 | 6.7 | 3.3 | 0.4 |
| Zander Carter | 11.7 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| Ryan Jones Jr. | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
MTSU offenseper gameLIB defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MTSUForAgainst46% of MTSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
LIBForAgainst47% of LIB's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MTSU 1series4 LIB| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | LIB 81 | MTSU 65 | LIB+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | LIB 86 | MTSU 81 | LIB+5 | +5 |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MTSU 63 | LIB 73 | LIB+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024 | LIB 61 | MTSU 69 | MTSU+8 | +8 |
| Feb 8, 2024 | MTSU 53 | LIB 88 | LIB+35 | +35 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MTSU14-16 · last 30 games | LIB23-7 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 108.9#185 of 361 | 118.1#40 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −1.7#202 of 361 | +6.7#72 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | −1.2#201 of 361 | +4.3#74 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 71.5#203 of 361 | 80.1#116 of 361 | 74.3 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.