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North Dakota State (24-7 in 2025–26) hosts Kansas City (1-26 in 2025–26) on Jan 14, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
KC offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · NDSU defense in 4 (4 by a clear margin)
NDSU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · KC defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
KCNDSU
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
KCNDSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Damari Wheeler-Thomas's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karmello Branch | 31.0 | 11.1 | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| Jayson Petty | 30.7 | 10.4 | 3.8 | 1.8 |
| CJ Evans | 30.4 | 11.2 | 2.3 | 3.4 |
| Kasheem Grady II | 26.2 | 10.6 | 3.6 | 1.1 |
| Chris Dockery | 24.8 | 8.4 | 5.5 | 1.1 |
| Jerome Palm | 23.0 | 5.7 | 4.9 | 1.0 |
| Addarin Scott | 13.6 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 0.5 |
| Jamaria Clark | 13.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Stefonowicz | 33.1 | 10.1 | 3.0 | 5.7 |
| Trevian Carson | 31.4 | 10.7 | 6.1 | 3.2 |
| Damari Wheeler-Thomas | 30.1 | 14.2 | 3.6 | 2.2 |
| Markhi Strickland | 24.5 | 9.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| Tay Smith | 24.1 | 9.3 | 3.1 | 0.6 |
| Noah Feddersen | 21.5 | 11.9 | 5.6 | 0.7 |
| Treyson Anderson | 18.1 | 10.8 | 5.0 | 0.7 |
| Emil Skytta | 13.1 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
KC offenseper gameNDSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
KCForAgainst46% of KC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
NDSUForAgainst48% of NDSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
KC 3series7 NDSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | KC 59 | NDSU 95 | NDSU+36 | +36 |
| Jan 8, 2026 | NDSU 97 | KC 73 | NDSU+24 | +24 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | NDSU 78 | KC 72 | NDSU+6 | +6 |
| Jan 16, 2025 | KC 64 | NDSU 71 | NDSU+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024 | KC 78 | NDSU 82 | NDSU+4 | +4 |
| Jan 11, 2024 | NDSU 92 | KC 91 | NDSU+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2023 | NDSU 69 | KC 58 | NDSU+11 | +11 |
| Jan 21, 2023 | KC 75 | NDSU 73 | KC+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | KC 85 | NDSU 71 | KC+14 | +14 |
| Jan 20, 2022 | NDSU 77 | KC 80 | KC+3 | +3 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | KC2-28 · last 30 games | NDSU24-6 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin | −16.1#357 of 361 | +8.6#28 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −22.9#357 of 361 | +12.6#29 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 95.1#355 of 361 | 116.0#58 of 361 | 109.2 |
| 1st half points against | 40.5#11 of 361 | 32.6#290 of 361 | 35.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.