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Utah Valley (22-8 in 2025–26) hosts UC Santa Barbara (16-14 in 2025–26) on Jan 14, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UCSB offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UVU defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
UVU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · UCSB defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UCSBUVU
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UCSBUVUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Aidan Mahaney's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Mahaney | 35.3 | 15.7 | 2.1 | 2.5 |
| CJ Shaw | 32.6 | 13.3 | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| Colin Smith | 31.7 | 12.7 | 4.5 | 1.8 |
| Miro Little | 30.7 | 11.1 | 6.9 | 5.4 |
| Zion Sensley | 26.4 | 11.5 | 7.9 | 0.7 |
| Hosana Kitenge | 22.0 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 1.8 |
| Marvin McGhee IV | 21.8 | 6.9 | 4.5 | 1.1 |
| Evans Kipruto | 8.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevan Leonhardt | 36.4 | 13.1 | 5.8 | 5.6 |
| Tyler Hendricks | 31.7 | 10.5 | 4.2 | 1.7 |
| Jackson Holcombe | 31.6 | 15.1 | 6.9 | 3.2 |
| Braden Housley | 28.1 | 4.6 | 2.4 | 2.5 |
| Isaac Davis | 21.3 | 12.5 | 4.0 | 1.1 |
| Sherman Weatherspoon IV | 19.2 | 6.4 | 2.0 | 0.5 |
| Noah Taitz | 17.3 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| Isaac Hawkins | 14.4 | 8.1 | 3.9 | 0.5 |
UCSB offenseper gameUVU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UCSBForAgainst48% of UCSB's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UVUForAgainst44% of UVU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UCSB 0series1 UVU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | UCSB 53 | UVU 68 | UVU+15 | +15 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UCSB16-14 · last 30 games | UVU22-8 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 109.3#206 of 361 | 101.5#335 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Possessions per game | 67.4#217 of 361 | 69.5#96 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 46.7%#187 of 361 | 45.6%#289 of 361 | 46.8% |
| 2nd half points against | 40.9#120 of 361 | 39.3#200 of 361 | 39.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.