Central Connecticut (14-12 in 2025–26) hosts New Haven (10-16 in 2025–26) on Jan 14, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
NHVN offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · CCSU defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
CCSU offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · NHVN defense in 4 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 64 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Darin Smith Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabri Fitzpatrick | 36.3 | 16.5 | 4.3 | 3.1 |
| Najimi George | 35.3 | 11.9 | 4.4 | 1.7 |
| Andre Pasha | 34.2 | 11.9 | 5.2 | 1.5 |
| Stefano Faloppa | 25.3 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 1.5 |
| Kheni Briggs | 22.1 | 6.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Teshaun Steele | 17.7 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| Maison Adeleye | 15.9 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| Aidan Losiewicz | 8.2 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darin Smith Jr. | 34.3 | 20.5 | 5.6 | 1.2 |
| Max Frazier | 30.9 | 12.1 | 7.9 | 0.9 |
| Jay Rodgers | 30.1 | 11.3 | 2.0 | 5.7 |
| James Jones | 29.4 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 0.7 |
| Melo Sanchez | 26.8 | 9.6 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| Daniel James | 15.7 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 0.4 |
| Elijah Parker | 14.9 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Roddy Jones | 11.1 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
48% of NHVN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
47% of CCSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2026 | CCSU+5 | +5 | ||
| Jan 4, 2026 | CCSU+11 | +11 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | NHVN10-16 · last 26 games | CCSU18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 69.3#335 of 361 | 74.9#121 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 59.5#356 of 361 | 76.9#173 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 96.2#351 of 361 | 108.1#205 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −10.6#311 of 361 | −0.7#181 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Feb 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.