UNC Greensboro (13-18 in 2025–26) hosts Western Carolina (13-16 in 2025–26) on Jan 13, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
WCU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · UNCG defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
UNCG offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · WCU defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Justin Neely's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cord Stansberry | 30.5 | 14.7 | 4.2 | 2.2 |
| Marcus Kell | 29.8 | 13.5 | 5.3 | 1.2 |
| Tahlan Pettway | 27.5 | 12.5 | 2.5 | 2.1 |
| Tidjiane Dioumassi | 25.6 | 12.0 | 3.1 | 2.1 |
| Julien Soumaoro | 25.0 | 12.1 | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| Samuel Dada | 24.2 | 6.7 | 8.3 | 0.6 |
| Justin Johnson | 15.9 | 6.6 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Abdulai Fanta Kabba | 14.1 | 3.2 | 4.5 | 0.4 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Neely | 32.9 | 20.2 | 11.7 | 1.9 |
| KJ Younger | 29.5 | 17.3 | 4.3 | 1.3 |
| Valentino Pinedo | 28.7 | 7.1 | 5.4 | 1.4 |
| Noah Norgaard | 28.7 | 8.8 | 2.7 | 2.2 |
| Lilian Marville | 28.4 | 8.8 | 1.5 | 3.3 |
| Donald Whitehead Jr. | 22.6 | 7.9 | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| Clinton Efinda | 17.3 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| Domas Kauzonas | 6.4 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.1 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
49% of WCU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
46% of UNCG's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2026 | WCU+14 | +14 | ||
| Feb 4, 2026 | UNCG+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | UNCG+4 | +4 | ||
| Jan 18, 2025 | UNCG+28 | +28 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2024 | UNCG+6 | +6 | ||
| Jan 24, 2024 | UNCG+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2023 | UNCG+19 | +19 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2022 | UNCG+25 | +25 | ||
| Feb 23, 2022 | UNCG+9 | +9 | ||
| Feb 7, 2022 | UNCG+19 | +19 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | WCU13-17 · last 30 games | UNCG13-17 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 48.4%#51 of 361 | 46.7%#184 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 46.7%#190 of 361 | 45.3%#304 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 114.7#68 of 361 | 118.5#18 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −3.8#228 of 361 | −6.5#264 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.