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Mississippi State (13-19 in 2025–26) hosts Florida (25-7 in 2025–26) on Jan 12, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
FLA offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · MSST defense in 0
MSST offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · FLA defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
FLAMSST
Expected pace: about 72 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
FLAMSSTNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Josh Hubbard's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Haugh | 32.7 | 16.6 | 5.6 | 1.8 |
| Alex Condon | 30.7 | 15.7 | 7.0 | 3.4 |
| Boogie Fland | 30.1 | 11.7 | 2.7 | 3.3 |
| Xaivian Lee | 26.9 | 11.3 | 3.2 | 5.3 |
| Rueben Chinyelu | 25.3 | 10.3 | 12.5 | 0.7 |
| Urban Klavzar | 20.9 | 10.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Micah Handlogten | 14.7 | 3.4 | 5.4 | 0.9 |
| Isaiah Brown | 14.7 | 6.3 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard | 34.3 | 21.3 | 2.7 | 3.4 |
| Jayden Epps | 26.7 | 11.7 | 2.8 | 2.8 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 24.1 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| Jamarion Davis-Fleming | 22.8 | 4.3 | 5.7 | 0.7 |
| Ja'Borri McGhee | 20.7 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| Achor Achor | 18.5 | 7.3 | 5.5 | 0.3 |
| Sergej Macura | 18.3 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 0.5 |
| Quincy Ballard | 18.1 | 6.2 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
FLA offenseper gameMSST defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
FLAForAgainst47% of FLA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MSSTForAgainst48% of MSST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
FLA 5series2 MSST| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | MSST 74 | FLA 108 | FLA+34 | +34 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2025 | FLA 81 | MSST 68 | FLA+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2024 | MSST 70 | FLA 79 | FLA+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | MSST 69 | FLA 68 | MSST+1 | +1 |
| Jan 21, 2023 | FLA 61 | MSST 59 | FLA+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2022 | MSST 72 | FLA 80 | FLA+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2021 | FLA 69 | MSST 72 | MSST+3 | +3 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | FLA24-6 · last 30 games | MSST12-18 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +14.3#2 of 361 | −2.1#309 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 101.1#337 of 361 | 114.7#67 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 72.0#303 of 361 | 78.7#45 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +19.4#9 of 361 | −6.6#266 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.