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Tennessee (22-11 in 2025–26) hosts Missouri (20-12 in 2025–26) on Jan 12, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MIZ offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · TENN defense in 1
TENN offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · MIZ defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MIZTENN
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MIZTENNNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Nate Ament's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Mitchell Jr. | 35.9 | 19.2 | 5.2 | 3.8 |
| Jayden Stone | 31.7 | 12.2 | 5.1 | 1.5 |
| T.O. Barrett | 29.7 | 12.9 | 4.1 | 3.8 |
| Trent Pierce | 29.5 | 10.5 | 3.8 | 0.8 |
| Anthony Robinson II | 23.1 | 6.8 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| Shawn Phillips Jr. | 21.2 | 7.7 | 5.4 | 0.5 |
| Jacob Crews | 17.7 | 4.7 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| Trent Burns | 10.3 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 0.0 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Kobi Gillespie | 36.1 | 17.3 | 2.7 | 5.3 |
| Nate Ament | 32.8 | 20.4 | 7.0 | 2.5 |
| Bishop Boswell | 28.8 | 6.5 | 4.7 | 3.3 |
| Felix Okpara | 28.1 | 8.7 | 7.2 | 0.5 |
| J.P. Estrella | 23.3 | 11.7 | 6.3 | 0.9 |
| Jaylen Carey | 19.1 | 5.3 | 5.9 | 1.1 |
| Amari Evans | 17.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 0.6 |
| DeWayne Brown II | 15.7 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 1.1 |
MIZ offenseper gameTENN defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MIZForAgainst44% of MIZ's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
TENNForAgainst47% of TENN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MIZ 4series4 TENN| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | TENN 69 | MIZ 73 | MIZ+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2025 | MIZ 81 | TENN 85 | TENN+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | TENN 72 | MIZ 67 | TENN+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2023 | TENN 71 | MIZ 79 | MIZ+8 | +8 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | MIZ 86 | TENN 85 | MIZ+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2022 | TENN 80 | MIZ 61 | TENN+19 | +19 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2021 | MIZ 73 | TENN 64 | MIZ+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2020 | TENN 73 | MIZ 53 | TENN+20 | +20 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MIZ18-12 · last 30 games | TENN19-11 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 111.2#154 of 361 | 105.0#295 of 361 | 109.9 |
| 1st half points against | 34.5#205 of 361 | 30.9#345 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −2.1#116 of 361 | +17.0#15 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +5.5#87 of 361 | +12.3#35 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.