Kentucky (21-13 in 2025–26) hosts LSU (15-17 in 2025–26) on Jan 12, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
LSU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · UK defense in 1
UK offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · LSU defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Otega Oweh's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Mackinnon | 34.3 | 17.1 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Marquel Sutton | 32.5 | 13.1 | 5.7 | 0.8 |
| Pablo Tamba | 31.1 | 8.9 | 6.9 | 1.7 |
| Jalen Reece | 31.0 | 7.9 | 2.3 | 4.9 |
| Dedan Thomas Jr. | 25.3 | 11.3 | 2.3 | 4.0 |
| Rashad King | 22.5 | 6.6 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| Mike Nwoko | 22.5 | 12.2 | 6.1 | 1.0 |
| Robert Miller III | 20.2 | 6.1 | 4.4 | 0.6 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otega Oweh | 35.7 | 21.3 | 4.9 | 2.6 |
| Denzel Aberdeen | 33.6 | 14.0 | 2.4 | 4.2 |
| Collin Chandler | 31.1 | 11.3 | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| Malachi Moreno | 23.9 | 6.9 | 6.5 | 1.6 |
| Mouhamed Dioubate | 21.9 | 7.8 | 5.3 | 1.1 |
| Andrija Jelavic | 16.4 | 5.9 | 3.6 | 0.8 |
| Brandon Garrison | 16.2 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 0.9 |
| Kam Williams | 12.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
45% of LSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
44% of UK's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | UK+5 | +5 | ||
| Jan 14, 2026 | UK+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | UK+31 | +31 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2024 | LSU+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2023 | UK+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2022 | UK+5 | +5 | ||
| Jan 4, 2022 | LSU+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2021 | UK+13 | +13 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | LSU13-17 · last 30 games | UK18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 46.8%#180 of 361 | 44.5%#345 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 82.7#61 of 361 | 70.6#220 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 114.5#71 of 361 | 109.3#209 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +1.1#151 of 361 | +6.0#81 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.