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Central Michigan (8-21 in 2025–26) hosts Buffalo (15-15 in 2025–26) on Jan 12, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
BUF offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · CMU defense in 1
CMU offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · BUF defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
BUFCMU
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
BUFCMUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Ryan Sabol's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sabol | 38.2 | 20.9 | 3.9 | 3.4 |
| Angelo Brizzi | 33.2 | 18.1 | 3.1 | 2.4 |
| Noah Batchelor | 32.6 | 7.9 | 4.7 | 1.3 |
| Daniel Freitag | 31.7 | 18.5 | 3.5 | 5.2 |
| Derrick Talton Jr. | 31.5 | 6.5 | 2.8 | 3.9 |
| Tim Oboh | 24.1 | 8.5 | 6.1 | 0.2 |
| Mikhail Pocknett | 15.7 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 0.5 |
| Ezra McKenna | 14.2 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamario Adley | 31.5 | 14.6 | 5.1 | 3.4 |
| Phat Phat Brooks | 31.2 | 11.9 | 3.5 | 4.6 |
| Nathan Claerbaut | 29.7 | 11.9 | 4.7 | 1.8 |
| Logan McIntire | 29.2 | 13.4 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| Keenan Garner | 29.1 | 9.1 | 7.1 | 2.1 |
| Nick Mullen | 15.9 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 0.5 |
| Jaxson Whitaker | 14.5 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Jalen Kampen | 13.3 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0.3 |
BUF offenseper gameCMU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
BUFForAgainst44% of BUF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
CMUForAgainst48% of CMU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
BUF 5series3 CMU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | CMU 75 | BUF 70 | CMU+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | BUF 69 | CMU 73 | CMU+4 | +4 |
| Jan 28, 2025 | CMU 69 | BUF 75 | BUF+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | BUF 76 | CMU 64 | BUF+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | CMU 35 | BUF 63 | BUF+28 | +28 |
| Jan 14, 2023 | BUF 78 | CMU 87 | CMU+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2022 | BUF 74 | CMU 54 | BUF+20 | +20 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2021 | CMU 73 | BUF 85 | BUF+12 | +12 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | BUF15-15 · last 30 games | CMU8-22 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points for | 41.9#69 of 361 | 37.8#260 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 114.8#77 of 361 | 105.8#252 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Scoring margin | +0.5#155 of 361 | −5.9#289 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +0.7#155 of 361 | −8.6#289 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.