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NC State (20-13 in 2025–26) hosts SMU (20-13 in 2025–26) on Jan 12, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
SMU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · NCSU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
NCSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · SMU defense in 2
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
SMUNCSU
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
SMUNCSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jaron Pierre Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boopie Miller | 35.5 | 17.9 | 4.1 | 6.0 |
| Jaron Pierre Jr. | 34.6 | 18.2 | 4.9 | 2.7 |
| B.J. Edwards | 30.7 | 11.6 | 6.5 | 4.2 |
| Samet Yigitoglu | 28.5 | 10.5 | 7.7 | 1.8 |
| Corey Washington | 27.2 | 11.1 | 4.3 | 1.0 |
| Jaden Toombs | 19.8 | 7.5 | 4.6 | 1.4 |
| Jermaine O'Neal Jr. | 16.7 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 0.2 |
| Sam Walters | 8.7 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadir Copeland | 31.4 | 14.1 | 3.7 | 7.3 |
| Paul McNeil Jr. | 30.6 | 13.9 | 2.9 | 0.7 |
| Darrion Williams | 30.5 | 13.3 | 3.6 | 2.2 |
| Ven-Allen Lubin | 30.0 | 15.3 | 7.7 | 0.6 |
| Tre Holloman | 26.7 | 8.5 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| Matt Able | 23.5 | 9.6 | 3.7 | 0.8 |
| Terrance Arceneaux | 17.0 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 0.4 |
| Musa Sagnia | 9.6 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0.0 |
SMU offenseper gameNCSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
SMUForAgainst47% of SMU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
NCSUForAgainst46% of NCSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
SMU 1series1 NCSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | NCSU 84 | SMU 83 | NCSU+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | SMU 63 | NCSU 57 | SMU+6 | +6 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | SMU17-13 · last 30 games | NCSU17-13 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 47.8%#103 of 361 | 45.0%#327 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 47.3%#121 of 361 | 46.4%#220 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Possessions per game | 70.3#61 of 361 | 69.2#104 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 3 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.