UConn (29-5 in 2025–26) hosts Marquette (12-20 in 2025–26) on Jan 12, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MARQ offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · CONN defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
CONN offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · MARQ defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Nigel James Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Ross | 33.9 | 12.8 | 4.1 | 3.7 |
| Royce Parham | 33.9 | 15.5 | 5.1 | 1.1 |
| Nigel James Jr. | 33.4 | 19.7 | 4.2 | 5.9 |
| Adrien Stevens | 31.3 | 10.5 | 3.0 | 2.1 |
| Ben Gold | 27.6 | 7.7 | 5.0 | 1.2 |
| Damarius Owens | 20.1 | 5.9 | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| Caedin Hamilton | 9.6 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 |
| Michael Phillips II | 7.7 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Karaban | 34.1 | 11.5 | 5.2 | 2.7 |
| Silas Demary Jr. | 32.3 | 11.8 | 4.9 | 6.3 |
| Solo Ball | 29.1 | 12.8 | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| Braylon Mullins | 28.8 | 12.3 | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. | 26.5 | 13.0 | 8.3 | 2.7 |
| Jayden Ross | 17.9 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| Eric Reibe | 13.6 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 0.6 |
| Jaylin Stewart | 12.1 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
50% of MARQ's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
51% of CONN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | MARQ+6 | +6 | ||
| Jan 4, 2026 | CONN+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025 | CONN+6 | +6 | ||
| Feb 1, 2025 | CONN+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | CONN+16 | +16 | ||
| Mar 6, 2024 | CONN+7 | +7 | ||
| Feb 17, 2024 | CONN+28 | +28 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2023 | MARQ+2 | +2 | ||
| Feb 7, 2023 | CONN+15 | +15 | ||
| Jan 11, 2023 | MARQ+6 | +6 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MARQ10-20 · last 30 games | CONN25-5 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points against | 37.0#77 of 361 | 31.3#335 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Possessions per game | 69.8#86 of 361 | 65.3#306 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −3.1#220 of 361 | +15.6#17 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | −2.2#220 of 361 | +10.2#21 of 361 | −0.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.