Minnesota vs Michigan Odds, Stats & Props

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Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.

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What to know

Scoring margin

MINN +1.5 · MICH +17.6

Points scored minus allowed a game, 2025–26. Each team's own average, not a forecast.

Form

MINN 4-6 · MICH 9-1

Each team's record over its last ten games.

Rest

MINN 2d · MICH 3d

Days off before this game, from the schedule.

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory

ranks betterranks worseStronger72+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 361 (#1 = best)

MINN offensevsMICH defense

MINN offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · MICH defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

54.2%

#62

44.7%

slight#2

Turnovers · per 100 plays

14.9%

#206slight

13.6%

#250

Offensive rebounding %

27.2%

#287

27.7%

Stronger#60

Free throw rate

25.1%

#195

19.7%

Stronger#24

MICH offensevsMINN defense

MICH offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · MINN defense in 2

Shooting · effective FG%

58.1%

#9Stronger

51.9%

#204

Turnovers · per 100 plays

14.6%

#181

14.9%

slight#146

Offensive rebounding %

35.4%

#42Stronger

29.8%

#148

Free throw rate

28.2%

#92

19.8%

slight#27

Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.

Key numbers and mismatchesHistory

MINNMICH

+2.4 136thNet rating3rd +24.8

110.9 137thOffensive rating10th 122.4

108.6 149thDefensive rating8th 97.6

63.1 358thPace44th 70.9

Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.

Where one side has the better of it

MICH effective shooting
MICH offense 58.1% (9th) vs MINN defense allowing 51.9% (204th)
+195 spots
MICH 2-point shooting
MICH offense 61.0% (5th) vs MINN defense allowing 51.7% (180th)
+175 spots
MICH 3-point shooting
MICH offense 36.0% (57th) vs MINN defense allowing 34.7% (228th)
+171 spots
MINN turnovers
MINN offense 14.9% (206th) vs MICH defense allowing 13.6% (250th)
+44 spots

ContextHistory

last 10 days

MINN

NU

PSU

WIS

MICH

2 days rest

MICH

NEB

PUR

MINN

3 days rest

homeroadday offthis gameFrom the schedule; travel distance is not tracked.

MINN · last 10

15-17 · 285 days rest

Apr 1 vs BAY2025–26L 48–67
Mar 11 vs RUTG2025–26L 67–72
Mar 7 vs NU2025–26W 67–66
Mar 4 @ IU2025–26L 47–77
Feb 28 vs UCLA2025–26W 78–73
Feb 24 @ MICH2025–26L 67–77
Feb 21 vs RUTG2025–26W 80–61
Feb 17 @ ORE2025–26W 61–44
Feb 14 @ WASH2025–26L 57–69
Feb 8 vs MD2025–26L 62–67

4-6 in these

MICH · last 10

31-3 · 280 days rest

Apr 6 vs CONN2025–26W 69–63
Apr 4 @ ARIZ2025–26W 91–73
Mar 29 vs TENN2025–26W 95–62
Mar 27 vs ALA2025–26W 90–77
Mar 21 vs SLU2025–26W 95–72
Mar 19 vs HOW2025–26W 101–80
Mar 15 vs PUR2025–26L 72–80
Mar 14 vs WIS2025–26W 68–65
Mar 13 vs OSU2025–26W 71–67
Mar 8 vs MSU2025–26W 90–80

9-1 in these

Player props

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Minnesota Golden Gophers

Michigan Wolverines

Cade Tyson

MINN vs MICH

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MINN at MICH

Full breakdown

Cade Tyson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…

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hit-rate splits and filters
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every book and the line history

MINN rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Bobby Durkin	38.3	12.6	3.2	2.1
Cade Tyson	37.1	17.9	5.4	1.4
Isaac Asuma	37.1	11.7	4.1	3.3
Langston Reynolds	36.3	12.5	4.1	5.1
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	35.0	14.3	7.1	2.3
Grayson Grove	26.3	5.0	3.9	2.5
Kai Shinholster	11.5	1.5	0.9	0.7
Maximus Gizzi	3.8	0.0	0.2	0.0

MICH rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Yaxel Lendeborg	33.9	14.8	6.7	3.3
Elliot Cadeau	28.9	10.1	2.3	6.1
Morez Johnson Jr.	27.2	12.4	7.6	1.1
Aday Mara	23.4	12.5	6.7	2.3
Trey McKenney	23.1	9.1	2.5	0.9
Nimari Burnett	19.1	7.8	2.3	0.9
Roddy Gayle Jr.	18.9	4.4	2.9	0.8
L.J. Cason	18.1	9.9	1.4	2.7

Team rankings (2025–26)History

MINN offenseper gameMICH defense

Effective FG%

62nd54.2%

44.7%2nd

Turnover %

206th14.9%

13.6%250th

Offensive rebound %

287th27.2%

27.7%60th

Free throw rate

195th25.1%

19.7%24th

Points

278th70.0

69.250th

Field goal %

98th46.0%

38.4%2nd

2-point %

42nd56.0%

44.3%5th

3-point %

132nd34.8%

30.2%10th

Free throw %

269th70.0%

75.1%313th

Rebounds

325th31.0

31.221st

Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.

Scoring by halfHistory

per game, last 17 games · the tick is the league's average team

MINNForAgainst

1st half

31.8

30.5

2nd half

34.2

40.3

Game

65.9

70.8

48% of MINN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

MICHForAgainst

1st half

39.8

35.4

2nd half

42.6

35.4

Game

82.4

70.8

48% of MICH's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.

SeriesHistory

8 meetings

MINN 4series4 MICH

Last 8MMMMMMMM

Avg total

143.1

combined points

Avg margin

MICH 2.6

per meeting

Biggest win

MICH +25

Jan 6, 2021

Last meeting

MICH won

Feb 24, 2026

Every meetingHistory

2026MINN 0-1 MICH

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 24, 2026	MINN 67	MICH 77	MICH+10	+10

2025MINN 1-0 MICH

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Jan 16, 2025	MICH 81	MINN 84	MINN+3	+3

2024MINN 1-0 MICH

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Jan 4, 2024	MINN 73	MICH 71	MINN+2	+2

2023MINN 0-1 MICH

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Jan 22, 2023	MINN 56	MICH 60	MICH+4	+4

2022MINN 0-1 MICH

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Dec 8, 2022	MICH 90	MINN 75	MICH+15	+15

2021MINN 2-1 MICH

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Dec 11, 2021	MINN 75	MICH 65	MINN+10	+10
Jan 16, 2021	MICH 57	MINN 75	MINN+18	+18
Jan 6, 2021	MINN 57	MICH 82	MICH+25	+25

Measure	MINN13-17 · last 30 games	MICH27-3 · last 30 games	League
Points for (home at home, visitor on the road)	64.7#321 of 361	91.2#7 of 361	74.3
Possessions per game	62.7#360 of 361	70.1#73 of 361	68.0
Share of points allowed in the 1st half	44.3%#346 of 361	48.2%#69 of 361	46.9%
Points allowed per 100 possessions	110.8#162 of 361	98.4#354 of 361	109.9

Measure	MINN13-17 · last 30 games	MICH27-3 · last 30 games	League
Points for (home at home, visitor on the road)	64.7#321 of 361	91.2#7 of 361	74.3
Possessions per game	62.7#360 of 361	70.1#73 of 361	68.0
Share of points allowed in the 1st half	44.3%#346 of 361	48.2%#69 of 361	46.9%
Points allowed per 100 possessions	110.8#162 of 361	98.4#354 of 361	109.9

Minnesota vs Michigan — College Basketball, Jan 12, 2027

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What to know

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory