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Purdue (27-8 in 2025–26) hosts Ohio State (21-12 in 2025–26) on Jan 12, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
OSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · PUR defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
PUR offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · OSU defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
OSUPUR
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
OSUPURNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Bruce Thornton's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Thornton | 36.2 | 19.7 | 4.7 | 4.1 |
| John Mobley Jr. | 32.9 | 16.3 | 2.2 | 2.7 |
| Devin Royal | 32.8 | 12.6 | 5.2 | 1.4 |
| Amare Bynum | 31.4 | 10.5 | 4.7 | 1.0 |
| Christoph Tilly | 24.7 | 9.7 | 3.8 | 1.6 |
| Taison Chatman | 20.3 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Ivan Njegovan | 12.7 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 0.5 |
| Puff Johnson | 11.4 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith | 35.8 | 12.5 | 3.5 | 8.8 |
| Fletcher Loyer | 31.2 | 15.4 | 2.5 | 2.6 |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn | 29.4 | 15.0 | 8.4 | 2.5 |
| C.J. Cox | 24.5 | 7.9 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| Oscar Cluff | 24.4 | 9.1 | 6.9 | 1.5 |
| Jack Benter | 15.3 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| Gicarri Harris | 14.7 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Omer Mayer | 13.8 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
OSU offenseper gamePUR defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
OSUForAgainst48% of OSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
PURForAgainst49% of PUR's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
OSU 4series6 PUR| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | PUR 74 | OSU 82 | OSU+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | OSU 73 | PUR 70 | OSU+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2024 | PUR 69 | OSU 73 | OSU+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | OSU 66 | PUR 80 | PUR+14 | +14 |
| Feb 19, 2023 | OSU 55 | PUR 82 | PUR+27 | +27 |
| Jan 5, 2023 | PUR 71 | OSU 69 | PUR+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | OSU 78 | PUR 81 | PUR+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2021 | OSU 87 | PUR 78 | OSU+9 | +9 |
| Jan 19, 2021 | PUR 67 | OSU 65 | PUR+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2020 | OSU 60 | PUR 67 | PUR+7 | +7 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | OSU18-12 · last 30 games | PUR22-8 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 72.3#297 of 361 | 73.5#148 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 47.4%#120 of 361 | 49.0%#19 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Possessions per game | 66.0#278 of 361 | 64.5#333 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 110.0#184 of 361 | 108.3#234 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.