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USC (17-14 in 2025–26) hosts Michigan State (25-7 in 2025–26) on Jan 12, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MSU offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · USC defense in 0
USC offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MSU defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MSUUSC
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MSUUSCNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jeremy Fears Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. | 33.7 | 18.9 | 1.9 | 9.6 |
| Coen Carr | 30.2 | 11.9 | 5.7 | 1.1 |
| Carson Cooper | 28.1 | 11.5 | 6.9 | 1.3 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 27.3 | 10.7 | 7.9 | 1.4 |
| Jordan Scott | 25.2 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Kur Teng | 18.9 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Divine Ugochukwu | 18.7 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| Cam Ward | 15.9 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kam Woods | 33.5 | 10.9 | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Jacob Cofie | 32.4 | 10.1 | 7.4 | 2.1 |
| Ezra Ausar | 31.9 | 12.9 | 7.3 | 1.6 |
| Chad Baker-Mazara | 28.0 | 17.2 | 3.8 | 1.9 |
| Alijah Arenas | 27.6 | 14.1 | 2.9 | 2.1 |
| Jordan Marsh | 18.5 | 8.0 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| Jerry Easter II | 16.1 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 0.5 |
| Gabe Dynes | 11.0 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.4 |
MSU offenseper gameUSC defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MSUForAgainst43% of MSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
USCForAgainst49% of USC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MSU 2series1 USC| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | USC 51 | MSU 80 | MSU+29 | +29 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | MSU 64 | USC 70 | USC+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2023 | USC 62 | MSU 72 | MSU+10 | +10 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MSU23-7 · last 30 games | USC16-14 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points against | 36.0#330 of 361 | 42.9#42 of 361 | 39.7 |
| Possessions per game | 66.5#259 of 361 | 71.3#29 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +2.5#50 of 361 | 0.0#268 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +16.2#14 of 361 | −2.2#209 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.