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Evansville (5-25 in 2025–26) hosts Belmont (24-6 in 2025–26) on Jan 12, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
BEL offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · EVAN defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
EVAN offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · BEL defense in 4 (4 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
BELEVAN
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
BELEVANNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
AJ Casey's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lundblade | 35.3 | 14.6 | 2.9 | 2.1 |
| Sam Orme | 25.0 | 12.3 | 3.5 | 1.8 |
| Jabez Jenkins | 21.5 | 8.9 | 3.8 | 1.0 |
| Drew Scharnowski | 21.2 | 9.7 | 5.5 | 3.3 |
| Eoin Dillon | 21.2 | 11.5 | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| Isaiah West | 20.9 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 2.7 |
| Jack Smiley | 20.3 | 10.2 | 2.1 | 3.1 |
| Brigham Rogers | 16.5 | 5.5 | 3.7 | 2.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Moeller | 37.3 | 14.7 | 5.0 | 4.3 |
| AJ Casey | 33.7 | 16.7 | 6.4 | 2.8 |
| Bryce Quinet | 30.8 | 9.7 | 1.6 | 2.7 |
| Joshua Hughes | 30.5 | 9.6 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| Alex Hemenway | 29.9 | 7.2 | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| Trent Hundley | 19.3 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| James Dyson-Merwe | 14.9 | 1.9 | 3.4 | 0.9 |
| Kaia Berridge | 12.8 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
BEL offenseper gameEVAN defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
BELForAgainst46% of BEL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
EVANForAgainst46% of EVAN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
BEL 8series1 EVAN| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | EVAN 64 | BEL 98 | BEL+34 | +34 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | BEL 83 | EVAN 78 | BEL+5 | +5 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | EVAN 80 | BEL 75 | EVAN+5 | +5 |
| Jan 18, 2025 | BEL 85 | EVAN 82 | BEL+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | EVAN 66 | BEL 83 | BEL+17 | +17 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | EVAN 63 | BEL 95 | BEL+32 | +32 |
| Jan 25, 2023 | BEL 73 | EVAN 64 | BEL+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | EVAN 43 | BEL 81 | BEL+38 | +38 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2020 | BEL 72 | EVAN 63 | BEL+9 | +9 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | BEL24-6 · last 30 games | EVAN5-25 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +8.8#5 of 361 | −7.6#351 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points for | 83.1#22 of 361 | 65.8#342 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 119.0#30 of 361 | 97.8#344 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +12.1#37 of 361 | −18.6#350 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.