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UT Rio Grande Valley (17-14 in 2025–26) hosts Northwestern State (8-22 in 2025–26) on Jan 11, 2027, 7:30 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
NWST offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · RGV defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
RGV offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · NWST defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
NWSTRGV
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
NWSTRGVNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Micah Thomas's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Thomas | 32.7 | 16.6 | 2.4 | 2.9 |
| Willie Williams | 31.9 | 11.7 | 8.7 | 1.7 |
| Chris Mubiru | 28.5 | 5.9 | 4.7 | 1.7 |
| Izzy Miles | 26.1 | 10.5 | 2.9 | 1.2 |
| CJ Larry | 22.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| Landyn Jumawan | 18.4 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| Justin Redmond | 14.6 | 4.3 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Chip Brunt | 12.3 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin McGhee III | 33.1 | 12.3 | 5.7 | 0.7 |
| Jaylen Washington | 32.3 | 12.2 | 2.4 | 5.1 |
| Koree Cotton | 28.0 | 16.0 | 5.5 | 2.4 |
| Julien Gomez | 26.1 | 8.2 | 3.5 | 1.9 |
| Filip Brankovic | 24.1 | 14.1 | 4.3 | 2.3 |
| Zae Blake | 15.1 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 0.7 |
| Dane Christensen | 12.7 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| Kwo Agwa | 12.6 | 4.1 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
NWST offenseper gameRGV defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
NWSTForAgainst47% of NWST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
RGVForAgainst46% of RGV's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
NWST 2series1 RGV| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | NWST 62 | RGV 74 | RGV+12 | +12 |
| Jan 12, 2026 | RGV 63 | NWST 64 | NWST+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2025 | RGV 63 | NWST 79 | NWST+16 | +16 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | NWST8-22 · last 30 games | RGV17-13 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 49.9%#7 of 361 | 45.2%#313 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −10.6#310 of 361 | +5.6#86 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | −6.8#309 of 361 | +3.7#86 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 102.1#310 of 361 | 110.9#138 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.