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Incarnate Word (8-19 in 2025–26) hosts Stephen F. Austin (26-5 in 2025–26) on Jan 11, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
SFA offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · UIW defense in 1
UIW offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · SFA defense in 4 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
SFAUIW
Expected pace: about 65 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
SFAUIWNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Keon Thompson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keon Thompson | 30.3 | 20.1 | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| Chrishawn Christmas | 29.3 | 5.5 | 6.9 | 1.4 |
| Lateef Patrick | 27.2 | 14.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| Jerald Colonel | 26.5 | 4.9 | 7.1 | 0.9 |
| Narit Chotikavanic | 21.9 | 7.5 | 2.7 | 1.0 |
| Kam Burton | 20.5 | 9.3 | 1.7 | 0.1 |
| Ahamed Mohammed | 16.1 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Gediminas Alisas | 13.1 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Bailey | 36.3 | 16.9 | 3.7 | 2.1 |
| Tahj Staveskie | 34.9 | 16.4 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
| Harold Woods | 29.9 | 9.0 | 6.2 | 1.2 |
| Jordan Pyke | 23.0 | 12.1 | 4.3 | 1.5 |
| Love Bettis | 22.5 | 5.9 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Marcus Glover | 16.3 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 |
| Lewis Rowe | 14.5 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| Esteban Mann | 12.5 | 1.6 | 4.1 | 0.1 |
SFA offenseper gameUIW defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
SFAForAgainst48% of SFA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UIWForAgainst44% of UIW's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
SFA 3series2 UIW| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | SFA 76 | UIW 68 | SFA+8 | +8 |
| Jan 12, 2026 | UIW 46 | SFA 56 | SFA+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | SFA 61 | UIW 63 | UIW+2 | +2 |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UIW 55 | SFA 49 | UIW+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2021 | SFA 83 | UIW 65 | SFA+18 | +18 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | SFA25-5 · last 30 games | UIW9-21 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 48.2%#65 of 361 | 44.2%#348 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 101.2#336 of 361 | 115.1#55 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +8.7#6 of 361 | −0.4#277 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +12.5#33 of 361 | −7.7#279 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.