Mississippi Valley State (2-30 in 2025–26) hosts Texas Southern (10-18 in 2025–26) on Jan 11, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
TXSO offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · MVSU defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
MVSU offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · TXSO defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Michael James's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Hupstead | 31.3 | 14.6 | 9.8 | 1.5 |
| Bryce Roberts | 29.2 | 11.5 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| Zaire Hayes | 28.3 | 8.3 | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Jaylen Wysinger | 25.9 | 13.5 | 3.1 | 2.6 |
| Alex Anderson | 24.1 | 10.1 | 4.1 | 2.3 |
| Jordan Gorecki | 21.7 | 3.4 | 4.2 | 0.9 |
| Duane Posey | 21.6 | 8.9 | 6.4 | 0.5 |
| Zytarious Mortle | 19.3 | 9.5 | 3.9 | 1.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael James | 38.3 | 23.1 | 3.6 | 3.1 |
| Xzayvion Childress | 30.6 | 8.2 | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| Daniel Mayfield | 30.5 | 13.9 | 6.0 | 1.2 |
| Patrick Punch | 30.3 | 7.8 | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| X'Zaevion Barnett | 29.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 2.9 |
| Mussa Mzein | 19.1 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| Tyrone Iroghama | 11.7 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0.2 |
| Samuel Murray | 11.2 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
45% of TXSO's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
46% of MVSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | MVSU+1 | +1 | ||
| Jan 12, 2026 | TXSO+33 | +33 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | TXSO+41 | +41 | ||
| Jan 13, 2025 | TXSO+29 | +29 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | TXSO+21 | +21 | ||
| Jan 15, 2024 | TXSO+32 | +32 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | TXSO+18 | +18 | ||
| Jan 9, 2023 | MVSU+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | TXSO+20 | +20 | ||
| Jan 10, 2022 | TXSO+37 | +37 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | TXSO11-19 · last 30 games | MVSU2-28 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points for | 40.7#124 of 361 | 34.6#346 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 112.2#131 of 361 | 119.7#13 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Possessions per game | 71.1#39 of 361 | 68.6#149 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Scoring margin | −5.4#281 of 361 | −18.5#360 of 361 | −0.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.