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LSU (15-17 in 2025–26) hosts Tennessee (22-11 in 2025–26) on Jan 9, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
TENN offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · LSU defense in 1
LSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · TENN defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
TENNLSU
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
TENNLSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Nate Ament's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Kobi Gillespie | 36.1 | 17.3 | 2.7 | 5.3 |
| Nate Ament | 32.8 | 20.4 | 7.0 | 2.5 |
| Bishop Boswell | 28.8 | 6.5 | 4.7 | 3.3 |
| Felix Okpara | 28.1 | 8.7 | 7.2 | 0.5 |
| J.P. Estrella | 23.3 | 11.7 | 6.3 | 0.9 |
| Jaylen Carey | 19.1 | 5.3 | 5.9 | 1.1 |
| Amari Evans | 17.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 0.6 |
| DeWayne Brown II | 15.7 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 1.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Mackinnon | 34.3 | 17.1 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Marquel Sutton | 32.5 | 13.1 | 5.7 | 0.8 |
| Pablo Tamba | 31.1 | 8.9 | 6.9 | 1.7 |
| Jalen Reece | 31.0 | 7.9 | 2.3 | 4.9 |
| Dedan Thomas Jr. | 25.3 | 11.3 | 2.3 | 4.0 |
| Rashad King | 22.5 | 6.6 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| Mike Nwoko | 22.5 | 12.2 | 6.1 | 1.0 |
| Robert Miller III | 20.2 | 6.1 | 4.4 | 0.6 |
TENN offenseper gameLSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
TENNForAgainst47% of TENN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
LSUForAgainst45% of LSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
TENN 5series2 LSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | LSU 63 | TENN 73 | TENN+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | TENN 65 | LSU 59 | TENN+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2024 | LSU 68 | TENN 88 | TENN+20 | +20 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | TENN 77 | LSU 56 | TENN+21 | +21 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2022 | LSU 50 | TENN 64 | TENN+14 | +14 |
| Jan 8, 2022 | TENN 67 | LSU 79 | LSU+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2021 | TENN 65 | LSU 78 | LSU+13 | +13 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | TENN19-11 · last 30 games | LSU13-17 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points against | 30.9#345 of 361 | 38.5#37 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 105.0#295 of 361 | 114.5#71 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Possessions per game | 66.9#239 of 361 | 69.7#90 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −0.5#83 of 361 | +2.7#218 of 361 | −0.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.