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Middle Tennessee (14-15 in 2025–26) hosts New Mexico State (13-16 in 2025–26) on Jan 9, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
NMSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MTSU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
MTSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · NMSU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
NMSUMTSU
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
NMSUMTSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jemel Jones's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jemel Jones | 30.3 | 19.9 | 4.5 | 2.7 |
| Julius Mims | 29.2 | 11.0 | 9.1 | 0.6 |
| Jae'Coby Osborne | 26.7 | 7.3 | 5.6 | 0.3 |
| Anthony Wrzeszcz | 25.4 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| Gabe Pickens | 24.1 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 3.0 |
| Jayland Randall | 19.8 | 8.9 | 3.2 | 0.5 |
| Elijah Elliott | 18.5 | 6.5 | 2.1 | 2.6 |
| Kyrese Mullen | 13.8 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 0.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torey Alston | 32.7 | 14.6 | 8.3 | 1.7 |
| Kamari Lands | 29.7 | 14.0 | 3.2 | 2.5 |
| Chris Loofe | 27.2 | 7.5 | 6.6 | 0.7 |
| Jahvin Carter | 25.7 | 9.8 | 2.9 | 3.7 |
| Sean Smith | 23.1 | 9.5 | 1.9 | 3.3 |
| Alec Oglesby | 22.6 | 7.6 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Tre Green | 17.9 | 6.8 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| Marcus Whitlock Jr. | 14.2 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
NMSU offenseper gameMTSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
NMSUForAgainst44% of NMSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MTSUForAgainst46% of MTSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
NMSU 2series4 MTSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | NMSU 85 | MTSU 86 | MTSU+1 | +1 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MTSU 59 | NMSU 55 | MTSU+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | MTSU 71 | NMSU 66 | MTSU+5 | +5 |
| Jan 30, 2025 | NMSU 61 | MTSU 57 | NMSU+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | NMSU 69 | MTSU 76 | MTSU+7 | +7 |
| Jan 20, 2024 | MTSU 62 | NMSU 73 | NMSU+11 | +11 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | NMSU13-17 · last 30 games | MTSU14-16 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 45.4%#297 of 361 | 47.8%#92 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −3.2#139 of 361 | +2.8#210 of 361 | −0.5 |
The 2 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.