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California (20-11 in 2025–26) hosts Virginia (28-5 in 2025–26) on Jan 9, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UVA offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · CAL defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
CAL offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · UVA defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UVACAL
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UVACALNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Dai Dai Ames's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallin Hall | 29.5 | 5.7 | 3.2 | 4.3 |
| Thijs De Ridder | 27.7 | 14.6 | 6.1 | 1.6 |
| Sam Lewis | 26.3 | 11.9 | 3.6 | 1.3 |
| Chance Mallory | 23.8 | 8.7 | 3.3 | 3.5 |
| Malik Thomas | 22.1 | 11.1 | 3.5 | 1.2 |
| Ugonna Onyenso | 20.5 | 6.9 | 5.9 | 0.7 |
| Johann Grunloh | 18.1 | 5.7 | 3.3 | 0.4 |
| Jacari White | 18.0 | 8.3 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Camden | 33.3 | 14.5 | 4.9 | 1.5 |
| Dai Dai Ames | 32.6 | 16.5 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| Justin Pippen | 31.7 | 13.9 | 4.3 | 4.9 |
| Chris Bell | 28.6 | 12.9 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| Lee Dort | 22.6 | 8.1 | 9.1 | 0.5 |
| Milos Ilic | 21.5 | 4.7 | 5.3 | 1.4 |
| DeJuan Campbell | 14.4 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| Semetri Carr | 14.0 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
UVA offenseper gameCAL defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UVAForAgainst47% of UVA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
CALForAgainst47% of CAL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UVA 1series1 CAL| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | CAL 60 | UVA 84 | UVA+24 | +24 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2025 | UVA 61 | CAL 75 | CAL+14 | +14 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UVA25-5 · last 30 games | CAL19-11 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 77.9#64 of 361 | 75.1#219 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 44.6%#342 of 361 | 46.6%#202 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Possessions per game | 67.5#214 of 361 | 69.0#125 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 118.0#41 of 361 | 111.7#120 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.