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Duke (32-2 in 2025–26) hosts Pittsburgh (13-20 in 2025–26) on Jan 9, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
PITT offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · DUKE defense in 4 (3 by a clear margin)
DUKE offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · PITT defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
PITTDUKE
Expected pace: about 65 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
PITTDUKENo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Cameron Boozer's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Dunning Jr. | 36.5 | 13.0 | 6.9 | 1.1 |
| Cameron Corhen | 33.7 | 14.7 | 5.7 | 1.9 |
| Damarco Minor | 32.1 | 6.7 | 3.8 | 3.0 |
| Omari Witherspoon | 30.3 | 7.3 | 3.7 | 2.8 |
| Roman Siulepa | 30.3 | 11.1 | 6.9 | 1.2 |
| Brandin Cummings | 25.3 | 8.8 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Nojus Indrusaitis | 25.1 | 10.4 | 3.1 | 1.8 |
| Macari Moore | 7.3 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer | 34.1 | 21.0 | 10.6 | 4.3 |
| Isaiah Evans | 28.3 | 15.5 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| Dame Sarr | 26.5 | 6.5 | 4.1 | 1.3 |
| Caleb Foster | 25.8 | 7.7 | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| Cayden Boozer | 23.4 | 7.8 | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| Maliq Brown | 21.7 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 1.8 |
| Patrick Ngongba II | 21.6 | 10.1 | 5.8 | 1.8 |
| Nikolas Khamenia | 20.3 | 6.3 | 3.8 | 0.7 |
PITT offenseper gameDUKE defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
PITTForAgainst44% of PITT's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
DUKEForAgainst52% of DUKE's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
PITT 2series6 DUKE| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | DUKE 70 | PITT 54 | DUKE+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025 | PITT 47 | DUKE 76 | DUKE+29 | +29 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | PITT 80 | DUKE 76 | PITT+4 | +4 |
| Jan 9, 2024 | DUKE 75 | PITT 53 | DUKE+22 | +22 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | PITT 69 | DUKE 96 | DUKE+27 | +27 |
| Jan 11, 2023 | PITT 69 | DUKE 77 | DUKE+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | DUKE 86 | PITT 56 | DUKE+30 | +30 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2021 | DUKE 73 | PITT 79 | PITT+6 | +6 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | PITT10-20 · last 30 games | DUKE28-2 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 64.0#330 of 361 | 83.5#56 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 113.6#89 of 361 | 97.2#359 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −4.6#238 of 361 | +25.5#1 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | −2.9#235 of 361 | +16.7#4 of 361 | −0.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.