Wisconsin (24-10 in 2025–26) hosts Minnesota (15-17 in 2025–26) on Jan 9, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MINN offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · WIS defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
WIS offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · MINN defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Nick Boyd's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Durkin | 38.3 | 12.6 | 3.2 | 2.1 |
| Cade Tyson | 37.1 | 17.9 | 5.4 | 1.4 |
| Isaac Asuma | 37.1 | 11.7 | 4.1 | 3.3 |
| Langston Reynolds | 36.3 | 12.5 | 4.1 | 5.1 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson | 35.0 | 14.3 | 7.1 | 2.3 |
| Grayson Grove | 26.3 | 5.0 | 3.9 | 2.5 |
| Kai Shinholster | 11.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Maximus Gizzi | 3.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Blackwell | 35.8 | 19.7 | 5.1 | 2.4 |
| Nick Boyd | 35.5 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 |
| Nolan Winter | 33.0 | 11.5 | 8.3 | 1.1 |
| Andrew Rohde | 28.4 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 2.9 |
| Austin Rapp | 23.8 | 10.6 | 4.5 | 1.3 |
| Braeden Carrington | 22.7 | 9.9 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Aleksas Bieliauskas | 22.5 | 5.3 | 4.7 | 1.0 |
| Jack Janicki | 13.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
48% of MINN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
46% of WIS's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | WIS+4 | +4 | ||
| Jan 13, 2026 | WIS+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025 | WIS+7 | +7 | ||
| Jan 10, 2025 | WIS+21 | +21 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | WIS+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | WIS+4 | +4 | ||
| Jan 3, 2023 | WIS+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2022 | WIS+1 | +1 | ||
| Jan 30, 2022 | WIS+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2020 | WIS+12 | +12 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MINN13-17 · last 30 games | WIS20-10 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points for | 36.5#302 of 361 | 43.4#30 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Possessions per game | 62.7#360 of 361 | 69.2#108 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −9.5#264 of 361 | +12.2#52 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 109.5#170 of 361 | 118.0#42 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.